Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek

Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,623.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

80% winner cross-market sharp

Sharp tennis bettor with an 80% long-run win rate and strong positive P&L is buying Osaka +1.5 sets at roughly even odds.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $223k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 33 related sports events with the same 80% win rate.
  • Entry at 50¢ means they are backing Osaka +1.5 sets as a near-even-money edge.

$1,200 on Osaka | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet with a long serial cross-market history is buying Swiatek -1.5 at near coin-flip odds, though the bet size is modest.

  • This bettor has 1,116 resolved trades, wins 63%, and is up $317k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 32 events with $673k in flagged activity.
  • Entry at 51¢ suggests they see value in Swiatek covering a market priced almost evenly.

$1,335 on Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 62%

92% winner backs favorite

Elite 92% lifetime winner with strong cross-market history bought Swiatek -1.5 at 51¢ in a relatively small tennis market.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved positions and is up $141K lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market record: 74 events and $228K traded with the same 92% hit rate.
  • Entry at 51¢ suggests they see Swiatek -1.5 as materially better than a coin flip.

$1,459 on Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly active cross-market trader with 1,116 resolved bets and $317k lifetime profit bought Swiatek -1.5 at even odds on a moderately quiet tennis market.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 63% wins across 1,116 resolved trades and $317k lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $672k recently spread across 31 events and 39 markets.
  • Entry at 50¢ is an even-money bet on Swiatek winning by 2+ sets.

$1,124 on Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 62%

Proven tennis bettor

Despite the weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because the bettor has a long profitable record with 76% wins across 997 resolved markets.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $58.8K lifetime.
  • They put $1.5K on Osaka +1.5 sets at 50¢ in a relatively small market.
  • Entry at 50¢ implies they see Osaka covering as better than a coin flip.

$1,505 on Osaka | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb57a...b8c3 Outcome 56942443, $13,660 (76% win rate)
  2. 0xff81...44c9 Outcome 56942443, $1,335 (57% win rate)
  3. 0x6f3c...786d Outcome 56942443, $969 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x8816...7738 Outcome 56942443, $461 (89% win rate)
  5. 0x2ca6...6a20 Outcome 56942443, $204 (66% win rate)
  6. 0x9271...a28a Outcome 56942443, $168
  7. 0x47f6...b051 Outcome 56942443, $100
  8. 0xf9e4...24c2 Outcome 56942443, $100 (47% win rate)
  9. 0xe321...b456 Outcome 56942443, $60
  10. 0xb2f9...eb15 Outcome 56942443, $50

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Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)

ResolvedInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek$6,623 tracked5 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Naomi Osaka in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Swiatek" if Iga Swiatek wins by 2 or more sets than Naomi Osaka, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Osaka." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Notable Trades

Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)

53d ago

$1,200 on Osaka at 50¢

Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)

53d ago

$1,335 on Swiatek at 51¢

Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)

53d ago

$1,459 on Swiatek at 51¢

Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)

53d ago

$1,124 on Swiatek at 50¢

Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)

53d ago

$1,505 on Osaka at 50¢

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