Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)

This Polymarket tennis market covers the set handicap for Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Matteo Arnaldi at Roland Garros, where Tsitsipas must win by 2 or more sets for the Tsitsipas side to resolve Yes. PolySpotter is tracking $3,850 in smart money activity from 1 signal, including a recent alert from a profitable bettor in a quiet market. The market is scheduled to resolve by June 4, 2026, based on the final completed match score.

This market refers to the tennis match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Matteo Arnaldi in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tsitsipas" if Stefanos Tsitsipas wins by 2 or more sets than Matteo Arnaldi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arnaldi." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,850.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor in quiet market

A profitable high-volume wallet made a $3.85k Arnaldi buy that dwarfs this otherwise quiet tennis market's 24h volume.

  • This bettor is up $56.8k across 1,031 resolved markets, despite a modest 48% hit rate.
  • The $3,850 Arnaldi buy was about 16.6x the market’s entire 24h volume.
  • Entry at 55¢ implies they see Arnaldi +1.5 sets as meaningfully mispriced.

$3,850 on Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 48%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1467...4372 — Arnaldi, $7,102 (48% win rate)
  2. 0x9cb9...32f2 — Arnaldi, $3,929 (39% win rate)
  3. 0x4379...2e16 — Tsitsipas, $3,000 (52% win rate)
  4. 0x9c76...c926 — Tsitsipas, $2,886 (90% win rate)
  5. 0xe8c4...395d — Tsitsipas, $1,238 (97% win rate)
  6. 0x0e50...2609 — Tsitsipas, $1,111 (0% win rate)
  7. 0x4a3f...4333 — Tsitsipas, $1,111
  8. 0x84f6...2e01 — Tsitsipas, $1,083
  9. 0xabf5...cfeb — Arnaldi, $1,000 (54% win rate)
  10. 0xc60b...d9f7 — Arnaldi, $500

Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)

6dRoland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas$3,850 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames
Tsitsipas
50¢
Arnaldi
50¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Matteo Arnaldi in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tsitsipas" if Stefanos Tsitsipas wins by 2 or more sets than Matteo Arnaldi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arnaldi." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

Price History — “Tsitsipas”
52¢
48¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)

3h ago

$3,850 on Arnaldi at 55¢

55¢→50¢↓5¢