Part of: Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin

Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin

This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Ilia Simakin in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Luka Pavlovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,965.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Prolific trader backing Ilia

A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader bought Ilia Simakin amid a 65.5x volume spike and a sharp price move, though the entry is already near 90%.

This trader has made over 110,000 resolved bets and is up about $8.25M lifetime.
A 65.5x volume spike accompanied a 25-point rise in Ilia Simakin’s price.
They bought Ilia at 90¢; the market has since moved to 94¢.

$3,792 on Ilia Simakin | Wallet win rate: 70%

Proven 82% bettor adds to position

A proven bettor with 1,061 resolved trades and a substantial edge added to an existing Ilia Simakin position amid a sharp volume surge and price move.

This bettor has won 82% of 1,061 resolved trades and is up $74,473.
They added about $1,156 to an existing Ilia Simakin position after a 65.5× volume spike and a sharp price rise.
Their entry was 75¢; the market is now around 94¢.

$1,156 on Ilia Simakin | Wallet win rate: 82%

Large buyer behind a sharp Luka repricing

A $4.2K two-tranche buy coincided with Luka Pavlovic odds rising 28 percentage points, making the move notable despite no clear odds-adjusted edge in the wallet's record.

The wallet bought Luka twice for about $4,200 as the price jumped from 34¢ to 64¢.
Its 55% win rate across 54,000 resolved bets and 59¢ average win price do not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.

$8,347 on Luka Pavlovic | Wallet win rate: 55%

Large buyer behind a sharp Luka repricing

A $4.2K two-tranche buy coincided with Luka Pavlovic odds rising 28 percentage points, making the move notable despite no clear odds-adjusted edge in the wallet's record.

The wallet bought Luka twice for about $4,200 as the price jumped from 34¢ to 64¢.
Its 55% win rate across 54,000 resolved bets and 59¢ average win price do not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.

$4,242 on Luka Pavlovic | Wallet win rate: 55%

96% winner backs Simakin

A highly profitable bettor with 609 resolved positions and a 96% win rate bought Ilia Simakin at 47¢, with the market now pricing him at 56%.

This bettor has won 582 of 609 resolved positions and is up $856,189.
They bought Ilia Simakin at 47¢; the market has since moved to 56%.
The wallet has traded across 485 events, showing a sustained track record beyond this single match.

$2,100 on Ilia Simakin | Wallet win rate: 93%

96% winner leads three-wallet push

Three wallets put $5,082 on Simakin as the price rose 20%, including a bettor with a 96% win rate across 609 resolved positions.

A bettor with a 96% win rate across 609 resolved positions bought Simakin at 47¢.
Three wallets placed $5,082 on Simakin, and its price rose 20%.
Another wallet in the group has an 86% win rate across 558 resolved positions.

$5,082 on Ilia Simakin