Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin
7 signals across 1 market · $25,965 tracked · resolves Oct 12, 2026
This Shanghai Rolex Masters qualifying market tracks whether Luka Pavlovic or Ilia Simakin advances in their scheduled October 5, 2026 match. PolySpotter’s latest alert says 84% of tracked winning positions back Pavlovic; check the event page for current odds and smart-money activity.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 96% winner leads three-wallet push
Three wallets put $5,082 on Simakin as the price rose 20%, including a bettor with a 96% win rate across 609 resolved positions.
$5,082Score: 7.3 - Prolific trader backing Ilia
A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader bought Ilia Simakin amid a 65.5x volume spike and a sharp price move, though the entry is already near 90%.
$3,792Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 6.0 - 96% winner backs Simakin
A highly profitable bettor with 609 resolved positions and a 96% win rate bought Ilia Simakin at 47¢, with the market now pricing him at 56%.
$2,100Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.8 - 84% winner backs Pavlovic
A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $1,246 bet on Pavlovic at 34¢.
$1,246Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.7 - Proven 82% bettor adds to position
A proven bettor with 1,061 resolved trades and a substantial edge added to an existing Ilia Simakin position amid a sharp volume surge and price move.
$1,156Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.4 - Large buyer behind a sharp Luka repricing
A $4.2K two-tranche buy coincided with Luka Pavlovic odds rising 28 percentage points, making the move notable despite no clear odds-adjusted edge in the wallet's record.
$8,347Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 4.2 - Large buyer behind a sharp Luka repricing
A $4.2K two-tranche buy coincided with Luka Pavlovic odds rising 28 percentage points, making the move notable despite no clear odds-adjusted edge in the wallet's record.
$4,242Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 4.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x526852…135d$12,589 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 55% wins
- 0x2a6966…d2f7$3,792 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0xf12f76…b30f$2,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xeaf34e…e802$1,246 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xabb396…f5b0$1,156 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Pavlovic vs Simakin?
The market tracks which player advances. Check the live event page for current odds, which can change as traders update their positions.
Who is smart money backing in Pavlovic vs Simakin?
PolySpotter’s latest alert reports that 84% of tracked winning positions back Luka Pavlovic. The event shows $1,246 in tracked smart money and one signal.
What does this Shanghai qualifying market cover?
It covers the match between Luka Pavlovic and Ilia Simakin, with outcomes based on which player advances.
When does the Pavlovic vs Simakin market resolve?
The match was scheduled for October 5, 2026. The market is set to resolve based on the player who advances, subject to its listed rules for a canceled match or no determined winner.