Part of: SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,021.

Categories: Tech, Big Tech, Elon Musk, IPO, SpaceX, IPOs, Climate & Science

Notable Trades

86% winner buying thin market

Surface due to a proven positive-P&L bettor adding a $2.0k Yes position in a thin market, despite the high 90¢ entry price.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $4.0k lifetime.
  • Their $2.0k buy was nearly 90% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet order book.
  • Entry at 90¢ is expensive, but the wallet is backing Yes well before the 2027 deadline.

$2,021 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0x16c7...3931 — Yes, $10,599 (42% win rate)
  2. 0x25dc...e33b — No, $5,770 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x38a1...d1e4 — No, $3,447
  4. 0x322c...fea5 — Yes, $2,269
  5. 0x7650...fac1 — Yes, $2,245 (86% win rate)
  6. 0x4e25...d7a7 — Yes, $1,569 (65% win rate)
  7. 0xc7b8...2c1f — No, $1,525
  8. 0x78fa...8ffc — Yes, $1,429 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x5b4d...2adb — No, $1,172
  10. 0x52eb...67ac — No, $1,067

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

595dSpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$2,021 tracked1 signalTechBig TechElon MuskIPOSpaceXIPOsClimate & Science
Yes
90¢
No
10¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Price History — “Yes”
92¢
89¢
87¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

3h ago

$2,021 on Yes at 90¢

90¢→90¢