Part of: SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
This Polymarket asks whether SpaceX’s market capitalization will close above $2.6 trillion on its first day of public trading. It resolves based on the official closing share price and outstanding shares from the primary exchange listing; if SpaceX has no IPO by December 31, 2027, the market resolves No. PolySpotter is tracking $3,879 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,879.
Categories: Tech, Big Tech, Elon Musk, IPO, SpaceX, IPOs, Climate & Science
Notable Trades
$81K cross-market IPO thesis
A profitable wallet is building an $81k cross-market thesis across 7 related SpaceX IPO valuation markets, adding $3.9k to Yes here.
- This wallet has built an $81k position across 7 related SpaceX IPO markets.
- It added $3.9k to Yes at 30¢, suggesting conviction above the current 28% market odds.
- The bettor is up $9.6k lifetime, though its resolved win rate is only 42%.
$3,879 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 42%
Top Holders
- 0x16c7...3931 — Yes, $13,000 (42% win rate)
- 0x5c32...d685 — No, $12,036
- 0xa3cc...447c — Yes, $1,891 (63% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $1,200 (47% win rate)
- 0xa58d...b9b8 — Yes, $836 (39% win rate)
- 0x3076...5cce — No, $713
- 0x3a09...12c5 — No, $609
- 0xb3cf...4723 — Yes, $553 (52% win rate)
- 0xd52b...5c72 — No, $490 (100% win rate)
- 0x6ac0...55f3 — No, $480 (53% win rate)
Related Theses
SpaceX IPO tops $3T
Covers 7 related markets
