Part of: SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?

This prediction market asks whether SpaceX’s market capitalization will close above $3.2 trillion on its first day of public trading. It resolves based on the official closing price and outstanding share count from the primary exchange, and resolves “No” if SpaceX does not IPO by December 31, 2027. PolySpotter is tracking $1,018 in smart money activity, with a recent signal showing an 84% winner buying “No.”

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,018.

Categories: Tech, Big Tech, Elon Musk, IPO, SpaceX, IPOs, Climate & Science

Notable Trades

84% winner buying No

Sharp 84% lifetime winner is buying No on a thin SpaceX IPO market while also positioning across related markets.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $13.7K lifetime.
  • They are positioning across 3 related SpaceX IPO markets, suggesting a broader No-side thesis.
  • This $1.0K buy is large for a market with only $1.3K total volume.

$1,018 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb7ef...812c No, $1,133 (84% win rate)
  2. 0x77e4...d18f Yes, $463
  3. 0xa58d...b9b8 Yes, $200 (39% win rate)
  4. 0x832b...5c91 No, $200
  5. 0x38a8...865a Yes, $124
  6. 0x8344...1e09 Yes, $108
  7. 0x1e98...6345 Yes, $100
  8. 0x7ac4...4f44 Yes, $100
  9. 0xec82...6eaa Yes, $100
  10. 0xa3e2...fdf8 Yes, $88

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

No Iran peace deal soon

Covers 2 related markets

SPY stays below $740

Covers 2 related markets

Crude oil hits $150

Covers 2 related markets

SpaceX IPO valuation disappoints

Covers 3 related markets

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?

589dSpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$1,018 tracked1 signalTechBig TechElon MuskIPOSpaceXIPOsClimate & Science
Yes
9¢
No
92¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Price History — “No
93¢
90¢
86¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?

5h ago

$1,018 on No at 90¢

90¢92¢2¢

Related Theses