SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $7,133.
Notable Trades
91% win-rate sharp bettor
A proven sharp bettor with a 91% win rate and $1.87M in profits is taking a sizable position on No in a long-dated SpaceX valuation market.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.87M lifetime
- They have traded 104 markets across 81 events, showing a strong repeat edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought No at 85¢, a large $7.1k position in a market with only about $21k of liquidity
$7,133 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x16c7...3931 — Yes, $137,685
- 0x7789...a2ce — No, $70,000
- 0x56c9...0d9e — No, $17,937 (91% win rate)
- 0x169c...33ad — No, $8,000
- 0xd555...e28a — No, $6,867
- 0x46a1...2736 — No, $6,478 (65% win rate)
- 0xdc4b...dbca — No, $6,000
- 0x5415...2a6e — No, $3,599
- 0xa9e6...1dc2 — No, $2,178 (83% win rate)
- 0x0d15...c454 — No, $2,000
