Part of: SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?
This Polymarket market predicts whether SpaceX’s closing share price on its second trading day after IPO will be greater than or equal to that day’s official opening price. It resolves “Up” if the second-day close is at or above the open, and “Down” if it closes below; PolySpotter currently tracks $1,384 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this market.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s second day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,384.
Categories: SpaceX, Elon Musk, IPOs, Big Tech, IPO, Tech, Space
Notable Trades
82% winner buying thin market
Sharp wallet with an 82% resolved win rate bought Up at 77¢ in a thin SpaceX IPO market after heavy one-day price movement.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $3.4K lifetime.
- Their $1.4K buy was larger than the market’s prior 24h volume, showing real conviction in a thin book.
- Up has already moved about 28 points in a day, and this entry at 77¢ shows they are still backing the momentum.
$1,384 on Up | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x4db1...e2ab — Down, $9,809 (85% win rate)
- 0xa108...abd3 — Up, $8,089
- 0x9b2d...ff5b — Up, $2,102
- 0x2461...f240 — Down, $1,871 (54% win rate)
- 0x75fe...3a47 — Up, $1,777 (56% win rate)
- 0x6547...82b3 — Up, $851
- 0xc8ab...6418 — Down, $777 (47% win rate)
- 0xcf07...c770 — Up, $716 (30% win rate)
- 0xee67...67a6 — Down, $612
- 0x5011...220e — Down, $555 (58% win rate)
