Part of: Spain vs. Austria - More Markets

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Spain and Austria combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $93,124.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable cluster buying Over

High-score cluster of four wallets buying Over, backed by profitable sports/event traders and a major pre-event volume spike, though price has moved against their entries.

  • Four wallets bought the same Over side for $8.5K, creating a clear one-sided flow signal.
  • Several wallets have strong histories, including one up $322K lifetime and another winning 70% of resolved bets.
  • The market saw a 106x volume spike, and the current 19¢ price is cheaper than their 28–29¢ entries.

$8,468 on Over

13-wallet Over surge

High-conviction one-sided flow into Over, with 13 wallets buying the same side and this profitable high-volume bettor adding $13.3k across multiple entries.

  • 13 wallets bought Over in the same window, totaling about $52.6k on one side.
  • This bettor is highly active and profitable, up about $605k across more than 17,000 resolved bets.
  • Volume spiked more than 20x normal, suggesting a coordinated rush into Over before resolution.

$13,290 on Over | Wallet win rate: 53%

New whale plus 6-wallet flow

High-conviction Over buying from a 4-day-old wallet with repeat large bets, early profitability, and corroborating one-sided flow from 6 wallets.

  • A 4-day-old wallet put $50K on Over and has already been flagged for $146K of large bets.
  • Six wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $78K on Over.
  • Volume spiked more than 20x before the match, suggesting unusually strong pre-game demand.

$50,373 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor backing Under

Surface because a proven profitable bettor with an 85% record bought Under, alongside a 3-wallet Under cluster and a sharp move from ~69¢ to 79¢ despite opposing flow elsewhere.

  • A bettor who wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $219k bought Under at 69¢.
  • Three wallets put $9.6k on Under, and the price has already moved to 79¢.
  • Market volume is running 14.5x normal, suggesting unusually heavy pre-game positioning.

$9,608 on Under

92% win-rate bettor

A high-hit-rate wallet with 24 wins in 26 resolved positions is buying Under at 66¢ on a liquid sports total, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

  • This bettor has won 24 of 26 resolved positions, a 92% hit rate.
  • Their wins came at average odds around 62%, suggesting they have beaten market expectations by a wide margin.
  • They put $3,000 on Under at 66¢, backing the current favorite rather than chasing a long shot.

$3,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 92%

85% winner buys Under

Sharp sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $219k lifetime profit bought Under 3.5 at 66%.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $219k lifetime.
  • They have a large 158-bet track record, with wins coming at much tougher average odds than this entry.
  • The $3.6k buy backs Under at 66¢ in a highly active World Cup goals market.

$3,550 on Under | Wallet win rate: 85%

New profitable whale on Over

A 3-day-old repeat large bettor with strong early profits is buying Over in a liquid World Cup totals market.

  • This 3-day-old wallet has already had $95k in flagged bets and is up about $116k early.
  • They bought Over at 33¢, implying a roughly 3x payout if Spain and Austria combine for 4+ goals.
  • The market has already moved up 3.9% today, supporting the same direction as this bet.

$3,235 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

6-wallet funded Over cluster

High-score alert driven by a 6-wallet funded cluster and a profitable serial sports trader buying Over at 31¢.

  • Six linked wallets funded by the same address have put about $12k into this market.
  • This bettor has traded across 43 events and is up $13.7k lifetime.
  • Entry at 31¢ implies a roughly 3.2x payout if Spain and Austria combine for 4+ goals.

$1,600 on Over | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3496...8fc4 Over, $355,788 (67% win rate)
  2. 0x204f...5e14 Under, $334,906 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x2c33...0563 Under, $182,047 (51% win rate)
  4. 0x0346...52a5 Under, $106,264 (53% win rate)
  5. 0x384b...7d78 Over, $97,791 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x224a...a3d5 Over, $79,216 (62% win rate)
  7. 0x9fcf...e455 Under, $42,053 (79% win rate)
  8. 0x4f12...8140 Over, $35,910 (86% win rate)
  9. 0x128b...bee9 Under, $16,625 (79% win rate)
  10. 0xc96e...f1f9 Over, $15,300 (79% win rate)

Related Theses

Belgium advances in low-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina wins by two

Covers 7 related markets

Panama Croatia tied at halftime

Covers 3 related markets

Türkiye wins 2-0

Covers 5 related markets

Algeria-Austria match gets canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Brazil wins three nil

Covers 9 related markets

Uzbekistan covers low-scoring match

Covers 5 related markets

DR Congo won't lose

Covers 3 related markets

Colombia keeps Portugal close

Covers 5 related markets

France beats Senegal

Covers 3 related markets

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

ResolvedSpain vs. Austria - More Markets$93,124 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Over
14¢
Under
86¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Spain and Austria combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Austria
AUT
0
World Cup
Full Time
Spain
ESP
3
ESP 1/250AUT 500/1Polymarket: 14¢
Venue
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
Price History — “Under
102¢
83¢
65¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

4h ago

$8,468 on Over at 28¢

28¢14¢14¢

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

5h ago

$13,290 on Over at 66¢

66¢14¢52¢

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

6h ago

$50,373 on Over at 52¢

52¢14¢38¢

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

5h ago

$9,608 on Under at 69¢

69¢86¢17¢

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

7h ago

$3,000 on Under at 66¢

66¢86¢20¢

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

7h ago

$3,550 on Under at 66¢

66¢86¢20¢

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

12h ago

$3,235 on Over at 33¢

33¢14¢19¢

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5

20h ago

$1,600 on Over at 31¢

31¢14¢17¢

Related Theses

Belgium advances in low-scoring match
Wallet_0x0353a trades 3 related markets
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to A…Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5
Argentina wins by two
Wallet_0x0346a trades 7 related markets
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Panama Croatia tied at halftime
Wallet_0x0346a trades 3 related markets
Croatia leading at halftime?Panama leading at halftime?Panama vs. Croatia: Draw at ha…
Türkiye wins 2-0
Wallet_0x0346a trades 5 related markets
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5
Algeria-Austria match gets canceled
Wallet_0x0346a trades 3 related markets
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27…Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27…Will Algeria vs. Austria end i…
Brazil wins three nil
Wallet_0x0346a trades 9 related markets
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Uzbekistan covers low-scoring match
Wallet_0x0346a trades 5 related markets
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3…DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2…DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4…
DR Congo won't lose
Wallet_0x0346a trades 3 related markets
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan e…Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06…Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-2…
Colombia keeps Portugal close
Wallet_0x0346a trades 5 related markets
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5
France beats Senegal
Wallet_0x0346a trades 3 related markets
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16…Will France win on 2026-06-16?Will France vs. Senegal end in…