Part of: Patriots vs. Bears
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
In the upcoming NFL football game between Patriots and Bears, scheduled for October 22 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bears" if the Bears win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $185,887.
Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader fades Bears surge
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader sold Bears at 89¢ after a sharp price surge, creating a notable contrarian Patriots position.
- This trader has won 71% of more than 134,000 resolved bets and is up $1.44M.
- They sold Bears at 89¢ after the price rose sharply, implying a contrarian Patriots position at about 11¢.
$1,790 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 71%
82% winner with $655K profit
A highly profitable bettor with 82% wins across 483 resolved positions is buying Bears at 55¢, alongside a long-running cross-market trading record.
- This bettor has won 82% of 483 resolved positions and is up $655,750.
- They are buying Bears at 55¢; the wallet has traded across 164 events and 203 markets.
- The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, and Bears odds have risen 4.5% this week.
$1,375 on Bears | Wallet win rate: 83%
434-win serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable bettor with 434 wins in 435 resolved bets and over $1 million in profit bought Bears at 55¢.
- This bettor has won 434 of 435 resolved bets and is up over $1 million.
- They bought Bears at 55¢, with a track record spanning 496 events.
$1,375 on Bears | Wallet win rate: 100%
434-win serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable bettor with 434 wins in 435 resolved bets and over $1 million in profit bought Bears at 55¢.
- This bettor has won 434 of 435 resolved bets and is up over $1 million.
- They bought Bears at 55¢, with a track record spanning 496 events.
$1,375 on Bears | Wallet win rate: 100%
Three-wallet cluster with proven winners
Three wallets placed $39,302 on Bears, including two highly profitable bettors, alongside a 14.1x volume spike before the game.
- Three wallets put $39,302 on the Bears, including bettors with 100% and 88% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions.
- The trades came during a 14.1x volume spike, with the largest bettor buying $34,227 at 54¢.
- The Bears spread is trading at 55¢ with a tight 1¢ spread and substantial liquidity.
$39,302 on Bears
Proven sharps adding to Patriots
Five wallets added $130,432 to Patriots, including proven bettors with exceptional records, making this coordinated, high-conviction flow worth surfacing.
- Five wallets bought Patriots for a combined $130,432, with the largest single buy totaling $119,549.
- One bettor has a 93% record across 222 resolved positions and another has a 98% record across 44.
- All five already held Patriots and added near 46–47¢, signaling increased conviction rather than fresh positions.
$131,627 on Patriots
Proven 84% winner adding to Bears
A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate is adding $5,500 to an existing Bears position at 55¢.
- This bettor has won 84% of 296 resolved trades and is up $728,836.
- They added $5,500 to an existing Bears position at 55¢, bringing their investment to $15,500.
- The bettor has traded across 240 events, with more than $1.8 million in recorded volume.
$5,500 on Bears | Wallet win rate: 85%
Proven 79% winner fading Bears
A consistently profitable bettor with a 79% win rate and strong historical edge is selling Bears, which translates to buying Patriots.
- This bettor has won 95 of 121 resolved positions and earned $139,622.
- They are selling Bears at 55¢, equivalent to buying Patriots at 45¢.
- A serial cross-market trader, they have positioned across 60 events and 63 markets.
$3,543 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x9243...658e — Patriots, $259,889 (94% win rate)
- 0x1f3a...895d — Patriots, $105,104 (72% win rate)
- 0xdaef...54e9 — Patriots, $20,000 (68% win rate)
- 0x9d8c...2799 — Patriots, $7,797 (94% win rate)
- 0xf5e1...5ad0 — Patriots, $6,776 (53% win rate)
- 0x48be...73a8 — Patriots, $6,409 (85% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Patriots, $5,559 (76% win rate)
- 0x689f...259c — Patriots, $4,065 (45% win rate)
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Patriots, $3,760 (65% win rate)
- 0x9866...db90 — Patriots, $3,544 (76% win rate)
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