Part of: Chargers vs. Bills

Spread: Bills (-1.5)

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if the Bills win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chargers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Chargers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $26,323.

Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games

Notable Trades

Bills whale meets Chargers cluster

A high-volume event trader made a sizable but mixed set of bets, while a separate three-wallet cluster favors the opposing Chargers outcome, making the flow notable but not a clean directional signal.

  • The wallet has a large history—55% wins and about $4.76M in reported profit—but its 55% win rate is below its 59¢ average winning price, so the track record alone does not show clear edge.
  • Three wallets bought Chargers for a combined $6,104, while this trader’s larger spread position favors Bills; the opposing flow makes this a notable, uncertain market signal.
  • The wallet traded about $26,000 in a market with roughly $2,346 in 24-hour volume, but Bills has fallen from the trader’s roughly 54¢ average entry to 50¢.

$26,323 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 55%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe4e4...299b — Chargers, $245 (88% win rate)
  2. 0xe134...f6da — Chargers, $36
  3. 0x5a21...9318 — Chargers, $25 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x76d2...99a6 — Chargers, $24 (82% win rate)
  5. 0xfed7...e405 — Chargers, $20 (97% win rate)
  6. 0xe8e0...7eec — Chargers, $19 (85% win rate)
  7. 0x6770...c3bd — Chargers, $15 (79% win rate)
  8. 0xb2f8...0e89 — Chargers, $15
  9. 0x42a1...a8e9 — Chargers, $10
  10. 0x8935...7daa — Chargers, $10 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

Orioles edge Dodgers low-scoring

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Red Sox win a low-scoring nail-biter

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Yankees win a low-scoring game

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Boston Red Sox win the game

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Royals win a low-scoring nail-biter

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White Sox win a low-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Cubs win a close, seven-run game

Covers 5 related markets

Mariners win a low-scoring game

Covers 5 related markets

Royals win a low-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Giants win a one-run, 8-run game

Covers 6 related markets

Spread: Bills (-1.5)

Chargers vs. Bills$26,323 tracked1 signalSportsNFL (All)Games
Bills
100¢
Chargers
0¢

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if the Bills win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chargers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Chargers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Bills (-1.5)

2026-09-27 17:22 UTC

$26,323 on Bills at 54¢

54¢→100¢↑46¢

Related Theses

Orioles edge Dodgers low-scoring
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Ange…Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-…Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Ange…
Red Sox win a low-scoring nail-biter
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Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blu…Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blu…Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blu…
Yankees win a low-scoring game
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Boston Red Sox win the game
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Royals win a low-scoring nail-biter
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Kansas City Royals vs. Los Ang…Kansas City Royals vs. Los Ang…Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1…
White Sox win a low-scoring game
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Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesot…Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesot…
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Royals win a low-scoring game
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Kansas City Royals vs. Los Ang…Kansas City Royals vs. Los Ang…Kansas City Royals vs. Los Ang…
Giants win a one-run, 8-run game
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Fran…Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Fran…Spread: San Francisco Giants (…