Event

Chargers vs. Bills

36 signals across 16 markets · $682,566 tracked · resolves Sep 27, 2026

The Chargers vs. Bills Polymarket event tracks betting on the NFL matchup, including the Bills -7.5 spread. PolySpotter recorded one smart-money signal, with a profitable veteran adding to the Bills; the event tracks $3,758 in smart money.

Markets (16)

  1. Chargers vs. Bills6 signals · $177,419 tracked
  2. Spread: Bills (-7.5)4 signals · $97,353 tracked
  3. Chargers vs. Bills: O/U 50.53 signals · $74,743 tracked
  4. Chargers vs. Bills: O/U 51.54 signals · $74,060 tracked
  5. Chargers vs. Bills: O/U 56.52 signals · $69,202 tracked
  6. Spread: Bills (-3.5)4 signals · $49,420 tracked
  7. Spread: Bills (-14.5)2 signals · $30,890 tracked
  8. Spread: Bills (-1.5)1 signal · $26,323 tracked
  9. Spread: Bills (-2.5)1 signal · $23,333 tracked
  10. Spread: Bills (-5.5)2 signals · $23,299 tracked
  11. Chargers vs. Bills: O/U 49.52 signals · $16,390 tracked
  12. Chargers vs. Bills: O/U 48.51 signal · $6,992 tracked
  13. Spread: Bills (-6.5)1 signal · $4,838 tracked
  14. Spread: Chargers (-2.5)1 signal · $3,135 tracked
  15. Chargers vs. Bills: O/U 41.51 signal · $3,039 tracked
  16. Spread: Chargers (-4.5)1 signal · $2,130 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Five-wallet Chargers flow; one proven sharp

    Five wallets bought Chargers for $71.2k, including a highly profitable bettor with an exceptional long-term record, though most trade size came from wallets with weaker histories.

    $9,260Score: 9.7
  2. 12-wallet Bills buying with sharp participation

    A large coordinated Bills position and a sharp bettor’s participation make this worth watching, though sizable opposing Chargers flow and mixed wallet records temper the signal.

    $121,693Score: 8.9
  3. Four-wallet Bills cluster with proven sharp

    A $24.5K four-wallet Bills cluster includes a bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge, although the market has since moved against their entries.

    $21,429Score: 7.6
  4. Five-wallet Chargers conviction

    Five wallets put $28,755 on Chargers amid a 28x volume spike and extensive same-event positioning, though the market has already moved sharply toward Chargers.

    $23,333Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 7.4
  5. Five-wallet Bills buying cluster

    A five-wallet Bills buying cluster and a 10.3× event-volume spike make this worth noting, though the main wallet also bought both sides of the total and its record does not show clear odds-adjusted edge.

    $50,249Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 7.4
  6. 95% winner makes a $12K Chargers bet

    A highly profitable bettor with 788 resolved positions and a 95% win rate made a concentrated Chargers bet, with additional positioning across four markets in the event.

    $12,119Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 6.9
  7. 92% winner adding to Chargers position

    A highly profitable bettor with a 92% record added $11,180 to an existing Chargers position at 43¢, with correlated event bets providing further support.

    $11,180Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.8
  8. Bills whale meets Chargers cluster

    A high-volume event trader made a sizable but mixed set of bets, while a separate three-wallet cluster favors the opposing Chargers outcome, making the flow notable but not a clean directional signal.

    $26,323Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 6.7
  9. Four-wallet Chargers flow with a proven winner

    Four wallets took positions equivalent to buying Chargers as the price rose 24% in a liquid market, including a profitable trader with a 62% win rate.

    $8,901Score: 6.5
  10. Three proven winners buying Chargers

    Three wallets with substantial profitable track records bought Chargers at 45¢, and the market has since moved to 54¢.

    $4,838Score: 6.3

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x526852…135d$242,520 · 8 markets · 12 alerts · 55% wins
  2. 0x224a89…a3d5$88,093 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 67% wins
  3. 0x924379…658e$51,225 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  4. 0xdc41c3…dd7e$32,615 · 1 market · 1 alert · 46% wins
  5. 0xfe787d…0319$24,531 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 64% wins
  6. 0xb4f978…c9a7$14,387 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
  7. 0x16bb99…8492$12,119 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  8. 0xd3a0b4…f136$11,180 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
  9. 0x27f738…44b0$3,277 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
  10. 0xd38b71…5029$3,135 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Chargers vs. Bills prediction-market odds?

Check the live market for current odds on the Bills -7.5 spread. Prices can change as traders update their positions.

What is the smart money doing on Chargers vs. Bills?

PolySpotter tracked one signal: a profitable veteran added to the Bills. The event shows $3,758 in tracked smart-money activity.

What Chargers vs. Bills markets are available?

The listed child market is the Bills -7.5 spread, which tracks whether Buffalo covers the spread.

When does the Chargers vs. Bills market resolve?

The game is scheduled for September 27, 2026, at 1:00 p.m. ET. The market resolves after the game is completed; if it is canceled or ends in a tie with no makeup game, it resolves 50-50.