Part of: Patriots vs. Bills

Spread: Bills (-2.5)

In the upcoming NFL football game between Patriots and Bills, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if the Bills win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,414.

Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games

Notable Trades

81% winner scaling into Patriots

A proven high-performing trader with 1,060 resolved positions bought about $4,414 of Patriots across three trades and is active across eight markets in this event.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 1,060 resolved positions and earned over $10.6M in profit.
  • They bought about $4,414 of Patriots across three trades at an average price near 47¢, below the current 52¢ odds.
  • The trader has positions across eight markets in this event, reinforcing a substantial game thesis.

$4,414 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa38a...821d — Bills, $1,271 (61% win rate)
  2. 0x60d0...2e36 — Bills, $905 (89% win rate)
  3. 0x74bf...17db — Bills, $351
  4. 0x5b63...11a4 — Bills, $307 (71% win rate)
  5. 0xe026...0404 — Bills, $250
  6. 0xbecc...5672 — Bills, $188
  7. 0x5cfd...ca1b — Bills, $156 (84% win rate)
  8. 0xf93f...f94b — Bills, $126 (83% win rate)
  9. 0xa278...3369 — Bills, $55 (68% win rate)
  10. 0xa5e8...16eb — Bills, $35

Related Theses

Bills win a low-scoring game

Covers 6 related markets

Packers win narrowly in a shootout

Covers 10 related markets

Rams win in a shootout

Covers 8 related markets

Missouri wins and covers in shootout

Covers 3 related markets

Steelers win in a shootout

Covers 3 related markets

Auburn wins a low-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Eagles edge Bears in tight game

Covers 5 related markets

Colts beat Commanders by single digits

Covers 20 related markets

Jaguars beat the Patriots outright

Covers 3 related markets

Florida State wins a low-scoring game

Covers 6 related markets

Spread: Bills (-2.5)

Patriots vs. Bills$4,414 tracked1 signalSportsNFL (All)Games
Bills
0¢
Patriots
100¢

In the upcoming NFL football game between Patriots and Bills, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if the Bills win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Bills (-2.5)

2026-10-04 18:04 UTC

$4,414 on Patriots at 47¢

47¢→100¢↑53¢

Related Theses