Part of: Patriots vs. Bills

Spread: Bills (-3.5)

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if the Bills win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Patriots". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,100.

Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games

Notable Trades

97% winner, serial cross-market bettor

A highly profitable bettor with a 97% win rate and broad cross-market activity bought Patriots at 55¢, making this a strong signal despite the price moving against the position.

  • This bettor has won 230 of 237 resolved positions and is up $207,748.
  • They bought Patriots at 55¢ and have traded across 50 events, though the current market price has fallen to 42¢.

$1,100 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2005...75ea — Bills, $12,874 (58% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 — Bills, $1,576 (64% win rate)
  3. 0xa38a...821d — Bills, $1,108 (61% win rate)
  4. 0x0eee...bc95 — Bills, $354
  5. 0xf34f...4d6e — Bills, $287
  6. 0x35de...b39a — Bills, $107
  7. 0x9412...730e — Bills, $73
  8. 0xda66...06cf — Bills, $71
  9. 0x8935...7daa — Bills, $55 (70% win rate)
  10. 0xab96...8d69 — Bills, $32

Related Theses

Pirates will cover the spread

Covers 1 related market

Colts-Commanders game stays low-scoring

Covers 1 related market

Marlins-Diamondbacks Score Above 7.5

Covers 1 related market

Texans win by multiple points

Covers 1 related market

Titans keep it close

Covers 1 related market

Guardians won’t win by two

Covers 1 related market

Florida State beats Virginia

Covers 1 related market

Chargers cover against the Bills

Covers 3 related markets

Panthers defeat the Browns

Covers 1 related market

Kentucky beats South Carolina

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Bills (-3.5)

Patriots vs. Bills$1,100 tracked1 signalSportsNFL (All)Games
Bills
0¢
Patriots
100¢

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if the Bills win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Patriots". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Bills (-3.5)

2026-10-04 17:55 UTC

$1,100 on Patriots at 55¢

55¢→100¢↑45¢

Related Theses