Part of: Chargers vs. Bills

Spread: Bills (-3.5)

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if the Bills win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chargers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Chargers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,420.

Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games

Notable Trades

Profitable whale exits Bills amid Chargers cluster

A highly profitable, high-volume trader sold a large Bills position as three wallets bought Chargers, alongside a major volume spike and sharp Bills price decline.

A trader up $1.13M sold Bills shares while holding a $50K Bills position.
Three wallets bought Chargers for a combined $6,104 as Bills fell 18%.
Trading volume spiked 26.6× above its historical average.

$1,222 on Chargers | Wallet win rate: 56%

96% winner backing Chargers

A highly profitable 96%-winning trader with a strong history of cross-market positioning is buying Chargers at 58¢.

This bettor has won 190 of 197 resolved positions and is up $157,356.
They are buying Chargers at 58¢, while the market is priced around 57¢.
The wallet has positioned across three markets tied to this game, with a broader record spanning 40 events.

$1,450 on Chargers | Wallet win rate: 96%

Four-wallet Bills cluster with proven sharp

A $24.5K four-wallet Bills cluster includes a bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge, although the market has since moved against their entries.

Four wallets put $24,511 on Bills, including one bettor with 93% wins across 304 resolved positions and a reported 37% edge.
The sharpest bettor committed $8,435 at 62¢; the group’s average entry was about 62¢.
Bills is now around 53%, below the cluster’s 62–63¢ entries, so the position has moved against them so far.

$21,429 on Bills

Profitable whale adding to Bills position

A highly active, historically profitable whale is adding to a substantial Bills position while holding about $101,000 across eight markets tied to the game.

This bettor has made about $4.76M across nearly 50,000 resolved bets.
They added $7,131 in Bills shares to an existing $56,350 position and have about $101,000 across eight markets tied to the event.
Bills were trading at 63¢, with a relatively tight 2¢ spread.

$25,318 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 55%