Part of: Patriots vs. Bills

Spread: Bills (-7.5)

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if the Bills win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Patriots". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,494.

Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games

Notable Trades

Five-wallet cluster with proven bettors

Five wallets committed $35,150 to Bills, including proven profitable bettors, alongside a major volume spike despite falling odds.

  • A bettor in the cluster has won 79% of 188 resolved trades and is up $612,473.
  • Five wallets bought Bills for a combined $35,150 as market volume spiked 55.6× its historical average.
  • Several wallets are adding to existing Bills positions, even as the price has fallen from 45¢ to 36¢.

$32,985 on Bills

96% winner adds Patriots amid volume spike

A highly successful bettor with 696 resolved positions bought Patriots amid a 55.6x volume spike, and the price has since risen from 56% to 64%.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 696 resolved positions and earned $545,725 in profit.
  • They bought Patriots at 56¢ as market volume surged to 55.6 times its historical average.
  • Patriots odds have since risen to 64%, supporting the direction of the trade.

$2,240 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 96%

Proven 79% winner backs Bills

A proven 79% winner with substantial lifetime profit is backing Bills -7.5 at 45¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest position size.

  • This bettor has won 79% of 188 resolved trades and is up $612,473.
  • They have traded across 50 events and 57 markets, showing a sustained record beyond this single NFL pick.
  • Bills -7.5 was bought at 45¢, while the market currently prices it at 44%.

$2,165 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 81%

94% winner adding to Patriots

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate is adding to an existing Patriots position, with a serial cross-market trading history.

  • This bettor has won 34 of 36 resolved positions and is up nearly $60,000.
  • They added $2,800 to an existing Patriots position at 56¢.
  • The wallet has traded across 25 events, with a reported 94% win rate.

$2,800 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 96%

95% winner with a $1.7M profit

A highly profitable bettor with 3,501 resolved positions and a 95% win rate is backing Bills at 45¢.

  • This bettor has won 3,314 of 3,501 resolved positions and is up $1.74M.
  • They are buying Bills at 45¢, below the market’s 56¢ price for Patriots.
  • This wallet has traded across 682 events, showing a long-running record beyond a single market.

$1,305 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9ee0...9c9a — Bills, $25,928 (59% win rate)
  2. 0x9828...0f7e — Bills, $23,300 (70% win rate)
  3. 0x4572...5e86 — Bills, $4,810 (81% win rate)
  4. 0xd3a0...f136 — Bills, $4,638 (92% win rate)
  5. 0xfbfb...0dce — Bills, $3,000 (94% win rate)
  6. 0xe8c4...395d — Bills, $2,900 (95% win rate)
  7. 0x5268...135d — Bills, $2,113 (55% win rate)
  8. 0x33bc...37dc — Bills, $2,000 (63% win rate)
  9. 0x664a...fc5f — Bills, $1,920 (54% win rate)
  10. 0x1f3a...895d — Bills, $1,328 (72% win rate)

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Spread: Bills (-7.5)

Patriots vs. Bills$41,494 tracked5 signalsSportsNFL (All)Games
Bills
0¢
Patriots
100¢

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if the Bills win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Patriots". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Bills (-7.5)

2026-10-04 17:21 UTC

$32,985 on Bills at 45¢

Spread: Bills (-7.5)

2026-10-04 17:21 UTC

$2,240 on Patriots at 56¢

56¢→100¢↑44¢

Spread: Bills (-7.5)

2026-10-04 17:04 UTC

$2,165 on Bills at 45¢

Spread: Bills (-7.5)

2026-10-04 03:37 UTC

$2,800 on Patriots at 56¢

56¢→100¢↑44¢

Spread: Bills (-7.5)

2026-10-03 16:13 UTC

$1,305 on Bills at 45¢

Related Theses