Part of: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 19 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,845.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

91% bettor joins three-wallet cluster

Three wallets concentrated $11,255 on Boston, including a highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate, though the market has since collapsed from 42–53% to 6%.

  • A bettor with a 91% win rate across 254 resolved trades and $539,695 profit bought Boston at 53¢.
  • Three wallets committed $11,255 to Boston, a substantial share of the market’s $37,268 volume.
  • The position is now priced at 6%, so the original thesis has been sharply contradicted and copying should only be considered near the original entry range.

$11,255 on Boston Red Sox

91% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate and $530,440 lifetime P&L made a fresh $1,590 bet on Boston to cover.

  • This bettor has won 230 of 253 resolved trades, with $530,440 in lifetime profit.
  • The wallet has traded across 209 markets and 194 events, suggesting broad, repeatable expertise rather than a one-off bet.
  • Boston was bought at 53¢ despite current odds near 48%, indicating meaningful conviction in the Red Sox covering.

$1,590 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 91%

Related Theses

Red Sox dominate Diamondbacks convincingly

Covers 3 related markets

Cardinals will beat the Orioles

Covers 1 related market

Mets will beat the Brewers

Covers 1 related market

Athletic Club will not win

Covers 1 related market

Angels will beat the Guardians

Covers 1 related market

England fails to win

Covers 1 related market

Chun-Hsin Tseng will win

Covers 1 related market

Giants Win by Multiple Runs

Covers 2 related markets

Kalieva beats McDonald

Covers 1 related market

Cubs will beat Diamondbacks

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox$12,845 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Boston Red Sox
0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 19 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

ARI
7
67-61
Final
BOS
6
68-59
ARI +148BOS -159O/U 8.5Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Fenway Park, Boston
Attendance
36,540

Notable Trades

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

2026-08-19 21:49 UTC

$11,255 on Boston Red Sox at 53¢

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

2026-08-19 20:33 UTC

$1,590 on Boston Red Sox at 53¢

Related Theses