Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians
6 signals across 2 markets · $29,684 tracked · resolves May 22, 2026
The Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians prediction market tracks who traders expect to win this MLB game scheduled for May 15 at 7:10 PM ET. PolySpotter is monitoring the market for odds movement and smart money activity, including a recent signal from a 98% win-rate sports sharp.

Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 89% win-rate sports sharp
Surfacing because a highly profitable 89% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market sports history bought $11.2K of Cleveland Guardians at 56¢.
$11,200Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 10.9 - Quiet-market sports whale
Large same-wallet bets overwhelmed a very quiet MLB spread market, but the wallet's long-term record is mixed rather than clearly sharp.
$4,860Wallet win rate: 38%Score: 10.3 - Profitable high-volume bettor
High-scoring MLB alert driven by a huge pre-event volume spike, fast odds moves, and a very high-volume profitable bettor buying Cincinnati Reds despite the price later pulling back.
$6,301Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 9.3 - 98% win-rate sports sharp
Elite 98% win-rate sports bettor with $1.58M lifetime profit bought $5,000 of Cincinnati Reds at 45¢, overriding otherwise ordinary market liquidity.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 8.0 - Profitable sports regular buys dip
A high-volume profitable sports wallet is taking a contrarian Cleveland position after a sharp price collapse, but the bet size is modest relative to market volume.
$1,241Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 3.6 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Cincinnati at 74¢ ahead of a sharp move to 90¢, with corroborating volume spike and rapid price impact.
$1,081Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 1.8
Top wallets in this event
- 0x16bb99…8492$11,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x204f72…5e14$7,542 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 55% wins
- 0x36257c…1187$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x255ab4…3435$4,860 · 1 market · 1 alert · 38% wins
- 0xbca08c…9705$1,081 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
FAQs
What are the Reds vs Guardians odds on Polymarket?
This event shows the live prediction-market odds for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians game, with traders buying and selling based on which team they think will win.
What outcomes are being traded in this event?
The event resolves to Cincinnati Reds if the Reds win and Cleveland Guardians if the Guardians win. If the game is canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.
Is smart money betting on Reds vs Guardians?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,000 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent alert tied to a 98% win-rate sports sharp.
When does the Reds vs Guardians market resolve?
The market is expected to resolve after the game is completed. If the game is postponed, it remains open until the makeup game is played; the listed resolution deadline is May 22, 2026.
How should I use PolySpotter for this MLB prediction market?
Use PolySpotter to monitor odds changes, smart money signals, and sharp-trader activity around the Reds vs. Guardians matchup before and during the market’s trading window.