Part of: Colts vs. Commanders
Spread: Colts (-13.5)
In the upcoming NFL football game between Colts and Commanders, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 14 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,990.
Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games
Notable Trades
Three-wallet Colts push with sharp bettor
Three wallets bought Colts for $13.3K amid a sharp price rise, including a highly profitable bettor with an 82% win rate and $10.6M in lifetime profit.
- Three wallets put $13,301 on the Colts, while the market price rose 18 percentage points.
- One bettor has an 82% win rate across 1,038 resolved bets and is up $10.6M.
- Their trades averaged about 61¢, but Colts are now around 85¢—well above the suggested copy ceiling.
$13,301 on Colts
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable bettor with 662 resolved positions and serial cross-market activity bought Commanders at 36%, though the market has since moved sharply against that position.
- This bettor has an 80% win rate across 662 resolved bets and is up $831,380 lifetime.
- They traded across 233 events and positioned in four markets in this event, totaling $15,777.
- They bought Commanders at 36¢, but the market now prices them at 15¢, a substantial move against the trade.
$2,878 on Commanders | Wallet win rate: 81%
Proven 82% winner, active across event
A highly profitable bettor with 82% wins across 1,038 resolved positions is backing Commanders, while also trading extensively across this event.
- This bettor has won 82% of 1,038 resolved positions and is up $10.6M.
- They bought Commanders at 65¢ and traded across 19 markets in this event, totaling $120,803.
- The market currently prices Commanders at 66%, close to the bettor’s entry.
$2,242 on Commanders | Wallet win rate: 81%
Three-wallet flow led by proven winners
Three wallets aligned on Commanders amid a sharp volume spike, including two bettors with strong long-term records, though the price has since moved against their entries.
- Three wallets bought Commanders for $7,570 as market volume spiked 71.9× its average.
- Two bettors stand out: one has an 82% win rate across 1,038 bets, and another has a 90% win rate across 288.
- Their weighted entry was about 45¢, while Commanders now trade at 36¢—the market has moved against the cluster.
$7,570 on Commanders
Top Holders
- 0xe558...dcd2 — Commanders, $8,349 (81% win rate)
- 0xf994...0854 — Commanders, $2,703 (90% win rate)
- 0x513d...54c5 — Commanders, $541
- 0x8935...7daa — Commanders, $404 (70% win rate)
- 0x7f98...698b — Commanders, $285
- 0x0926...6721 — Commanders, $208
- 0xa24e...1be8 — Commanders, $47 (71% win rate)
- 0x1a59...a57e — Commanders, $24
- 0xf30a...61fb — Commanders, $24
- 0x6bc7...c4a9 — Commanders, $23 (77% win rate)
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