Part of: Colts vs. Commanders

Spread: Colts (-14.5)

In the upcoming NFL football game between Colts and Commanders, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,754.

Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games

Notable Trades

Serial trader ahead of Colts move

A serial cross-market trader bought Colts at 39¢ before a 41.7x volume spike and a rise to 71¢, making the timely positioning notable despite no clear track-record edge.

  • The trader bought Colts at 39¢, before the price climbed to 71¢.
  • Trading on this market surged to 41.7 times its historical average, and the trader positioned across 11 markets in the same event.
  • The wallet has a large profitable history, but its 57% win rate alone does not establish a strong edge.

$1,864 on Colts | Wallet win rate: 58%

Three-wallet Colts buying surge

Three wallets bought nearly $9.8K of Colts as event volume spiked and the price rose sharply, providing a notable coordinated directional signal despite mixed wallet records.

  • Three wallets put nearly $9,800 on the Colts, more than the market’s reported 24-hour volume.
  • Trading volume spiked 233× and Colts odds rose from around 43% to 60%, corroborating the buying pressure.
  • Wallet records are mixed, so the coordinated flow and price move are stronger evidence than any single bettor’s track record.

$15,679 on Colts

Profitable bettor adding to Commanders

A highly profitable bettor is adding to a sizable Commanders position amid a sharp volume surge and positioning across six markets in the event.

  • This bettor is up $904,178 across 327 resolved trades, with a 65% win rate.
  • They have about $13,000 already invested in Commanders and added $3,211 as event-market activity surged.

$3,211 on Commanders | Wallet win rate: 68%

Related Theses

Colts win a low-scoring close game

Covers 6 related markets

Panthers upset the Lions

Covers 3 related markets

Falcons blowout or fail to cover

Covers 5 related markets

Heidenheim will beat Köln

Covers 3 related markets

Manchester City beats Chelsea

Covers 3 related markets

Falcons win a long series

Covers 7 related markets

Algeria Austria stays low-scoring

Covers 6 related markets

Brazil and Morocco draw

Covers 3 related markets

Twins win nine-run game

Covers 6 related markets

Tunisia will not beat Japan

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Colts (-14.5)

Colts vs. Commanders$20,754 tracked3 signalsSportsNFL (All)Games
Colts
100¢
Commanders
0¢

In the upcoming NFL football game between Colts and Commanders, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Colts (-14.5)

2026-10-04 16:24 UTC

$1,864 on Colts at 39¢

39¢→100¢↑61¢

Spread: Colts (-14.5)

2026-10-04 15:40 UTC

$15,679 on Colts at 57¢

57¢→100¢↑43¢

Spread: Colts (-14.5)

2026-10-04 15:29 UTC

$3,211 on Commanders at 41¢

Related Theses

Colts win a low-scoring close game
Wallet_0x68df8 trades 6 related markets
Spread: Colts (-14.5)Spread: Colts (-3.5)Spread: Colts (-10.5)
Panthers upset the Lions
Wallet_0x68df8 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Lions (-4.5)Spread: Lions (-3.5)Lions vs. Panthers
Falcons blowout or fail to cover
Wallet_0x68df8 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Falcons (-21.5)Spread: Falcons (-3.5)Spread: Falcons (-5.5)
Heidenheim will beat Köln
Wallet_0x2005d trades 3 related markets
Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heid…Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05…Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win…
Manchester City beats Chelsea
Wallet_0x2005d trades 3 related markets
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester…Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05…Will Manchester City FC win on…
Falcons win a long series
Wallet_0x2005d trades 7 related markets
Games Total: O/U 4.5Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Le…
Algeria Austria stays low-scoring
Wallet_0x2005d trades 6 related markets
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Algeria vs. Austria: Both Team…Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5
Brazil and Morocco draw
Wallet_0x2005d trades 3 related markets
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in…Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13…Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Twins win nine-run game
Wallet_0x2005d trades 6 related markets
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Ti…Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Ti…Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)
Tunisia will not beat Japan
Wallet_0x2005d trades 3 related markets
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21…Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in …