Part of: Colts vs. Commanders
Spread: Colts (-16.5)
In the upcoming NFL football game between Colts and Commanders, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,143.
Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games
Notable Trades
Three-wallet Colts buying cluster
A three-wallet Colts buying cluster and extreme volume spike are notable, although the market has since moved sharply against this bettor's 50¢ entry.
- Three wallets bought Colts for a combined $9,335 as trading volume surged far above its recent baseline.
- This bettor has a reported lifetime profit of $10.7M across more than 132,000 resolved positions.
- Caution: Colts odds have fallen to 23% from this bettor's 50¢ entry, a substantial move against the position.
$4,394 on Colts | Wallet win rate: 58%
Proven bettors backing Commanders
Multiple highly profitable bettors positioned on Commanders around 49–51¢ as a volume surge and sharp price move pushed the market toward that outcome.
- A bettor with a 90% win rate across 288 resolved positions bought Commanders at 50¢ and already held a larger position.
- Another bettor with an 80% win rate across 662 positions bought $5,537 of Commanders at 49¢.
- Three wallets moved toward Commanders as volume surged and the price rose from about 50¢ to 77¢.
$9,080 on Commanders
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable bettor with 662 resolved positions bought Colts at 51¢, though the outcome has since fallen sharply to 23¢, making the trade notable but risky to copy.
- This bettor has won 80% of 662 resolved trades and is up $831,380 lifetime.
- They bought Colts at 51¢, but the current price is 23¢ after a sharp drop—an adverse move that raises the risk of copying.
- The wallet has traded across 233 events, and market volume recently spiked to 21 times its average.
$1,066 on Colts | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable bettor backing Commanders
A historically profitable bettor put most of a $6.6k position on Commanders, followed by a sharp market move in their favor.
- This bettor has won 80% of 662 resolved bets and is up $831k lifetime.
- The larger leg was a $5,537 Commanders buy at 49¢; the market now prices Commanders at 78%.
- The trade was more than 2.5 times the market’s recent volume, and the price move supports the Commanders position.
$6,603 on Commanders | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x5268...135d — Commanders, $7,906 (55% win rate)
- 0xe558...dcd2 — Commanders, $7,018 (81% win rate)
- 0xf994...0854 — Commanders, $4,000 (90% win rate)
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Commanders, $1,907 (65% win rate)
- 0x513d...54c5 — Commanders, $426
- 0x8935...7daa — Commanders, $395 (70% win rate)
- 0x7f98...698b — Commanders, $392
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Commanders, $299 (56% win rate)
- 0x2b9d...3373 — Commanders, $230
- 0x1263...f241 — Commanders, $200
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