Part of: Colts vs. Commanders
Spread: Colts (-17.5)
In the upcoming NFL football game between Colts and Commanders, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,175.
Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games
Notable Trades
$400K event-wide position
A highly active, profitable wallet deployed substantial capital across 34 markets tied to the same event, and this Commanders position rose from 61% to 98%, though the current price is far above its entry.
- The wallet positioned about $400K across 34 markets tied to this event, including a $1,643 Commanders bet at 61¢.
- This outcome has since moved to 98¢, strongly confirming the direction—but the wallet’s 55% win rate is not exceptional.
- The suggested entry ceiling is 71¢; the current 98¢ price is well above that level.
$1,643 on Commanders | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable bettor scaling into Commanders
A highly active, historically profitable bettor put about $13.3K on Commanders while event-wide positioning and a sharp volume spike accompanied a major move in their favor.
- The bettor placed about $13,300 on Commanders across four buys, with a weighted entry near 53¢.
- This wallet has a $5.28M lifetime profit across more than 53,000 resolved bets, though its 55% win rate is not exceptional against its average winning price.
- Trading across 34 markets in the event totaled $357,290, while this market’s volume spiked and Commanders odds rose to 70%; avoid chasing above 63¢.
$17,532 on Commanders | Wallet win rate: 55%
Top Holders
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Colts, $894 (65% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Colts, $563 (64% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Colts, $513 (65% win rate)
- 0x621e...8e10 — Colts, $51
- 0x93ef...6dda — Colts, $15
- 0x3f34...ed6a — Colts, $10
- 0x5c18...2f76 — Colts, $8
- 0xfc52...d693 — Colts, $8
- 0x42a1...a8e9 — Colts, $5
Related Theses
Orioles edge Dodgers low-scoring
Covers 3 related markets
Red Sox win a low-scoring nail-biter
Covers 5 related markets
Yankees win a low-scoring game
Covers 7 related markets
Boston Red Sox win the game
Covers 7 related markets
Royals win a low-scoring nail-biter
Covers 4 related markets
White Sox win a low-scoring game
Covers 7 related markets
Cubs win a close, seven-run game
Covers 5 related markets
Mariners win a low-scoring game
Covers 5 related markets
Royals win a low-scoring game
Covers 4 related markets
Giants win a one-run, 8-run game
Covers 6 related markets
