Part of: Colts vs. Commanders

Spread: Colts (-17.5)

In the upcoming NFL football game between Colts and Commanders, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,175.

Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games

Notable Trades

$400K event-wide position

A highly active, profitable wallet deployed substantial capital across 34 markets tied to the same event, and this Commanders position rose from 61% to 98%, though the current price is far above its entry.

  • The wallet positioned about $400K across 34 markets tied to this event, including a $1,643 Commanders bet at 61¢.
  • This outcome has since moved to 98¢, strongly confirming the direction—but the wallet’s 55% win rate is not exceptional.
  • The suggested entry ceiling is 71¢; the current 98¢ price is well above that level.

$1,643 on Commanders | Wallet win rate: 55%

Profitable bettor scaling into Commanders

A highly active, historically profitable bettor put about $13.3K on Commanders while event-wide positioning and a sharp volume spike accompanied a major move in their favor.

  • The bettor placed about $13,300 on Commanders across four buys, with a weighted entry near 53¢.
  • This wallet has a $5.28M lifetime profit across more than 53,000 resolved bets, though its 55% win rate is not exceptional against its average winning price.
  • Trading across 34 markets in the event totaled $357,290, while this market’s volume spiked and Commanders odds rose to 70%; avoid chasing above 63¢.

$17,532 on Commanders | Wallet win rate: 55%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd1ed...d7cb — Colts, $894 (65% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 — Colts, $563 (64% win rate)
  3. 0xdbdd...a5de — Colts, $513 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x621e...8e10 — Colts, $51
  5. 0x93ef...6dda — Colts, $15
  6. 0x3f34...ed6a — Colts, $10
  7. 0x5c18...2f76 — Colts, $8
  8. 0xfc52...d693 — Colts, $8
  9. 0x42a1...a8e9 — Colts, $5

Related Theses

Orioles edge Dodgers low-scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Red Sox win a low-scoring nail-biter

Covers 5 related markets

Yankees win a low-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Boston Red Sox win the game

Covers 7 related markets

Royals win a low-scoring nail-biter

Covers 4 related markets

White Sox win a low-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Cubs win a close, seven-run game

Covers 5 related markets

Mariners win a low-scoring game

Covers 5 related markets

Royals win a low-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Giants win a one-run, 8-run game

Covers 6 related markets

Spread: Colts (-17.5)

Colts vs. Commanders$19,175 tracked2 signalsSportsNFL (All)Games
Colts
0¢
Commanders
100¢

In the upcoming NFL football game between Colts and Commanders, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Colts (-17.5)

2026-10-04 16:39 UTC

$1,643 on Commanders at 61¢

61¢→100¢↑39¢

Spread: Colts (-17.5)

2026-10-04 16:31 UTC

$17,532 on Commanders at 53¢

53¢→100¢↑47¢

Related Theses

Orioles edge Dodgers low-scoring
Wallet_0x52685 trades 3 related markets
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Ange…Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-…Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Ange…
Red Sox win a low-scoring nail-biter
Wallet_0x52685 trades 5 related markets
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blu…Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blu…Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blu…
Yankees win a low-scoring game
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Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5…Seattle Mariners vs. New York …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …
Boston Red Sox win the game
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Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: …Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: …
Royals win a low-scoring nail-biter
Wallet_0x52685 trades 4 related markets
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Ang…Kansas City Royals vs. Los Ang…Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1…
White Sox win a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x52685 trades 7 related markets
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesot…Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesot…
Cubs win a close, seven-run game
Wallet_0x52685 trades 5 related markets
New York Yankees vs. Chicago C…Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5…New York Yankees vs. Chicago C…
Mariners win a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x52685 trades 5 related markets
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston A…Seattle Mariners vs. Houston A…Seattle Mariners vs. Houston A…
Royals win a low-scoring game
Wallet_0x52685 trades 4 related markets
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Ang…Kansas City Royals vs. Los Ang…Kansas City Royals vs. Los Ang…
Giants win a one-run, 8-run game
Wallet_0x52685 trades 6 related markets
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Fran…Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Fran…Spread: San Francisco Giants (…