Part of: Colts vs. Commanders

Spread: Colts (-3.5)

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $45,606.

Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games

Notable Trades

90% winner backing Colts

A proven high-performing bettor is risking $9,317 on Colts at 55¢, backed by a 90% win rate across 283 resolved positions.

  • This bettor has won 256 of 283 resolved positions and is up $1.14M.
  • They placed a $9,317 bet on the Colts at 55¢, with a history of trading across 113 events.

$9,317 on Colts | Wallet win rate: 87%

Proven 85% bettor backs Colts

A highly profitable bettor with 1,646 resolved positions and a broad cross-market track record is selling Commanders, equivalent to buying Colts.

  • This bettor has won 85% of 1,646 resolved positions and is up $2.34M.
  • They sold Commanders at 49¢, equivalent to buying Colts at about 51¢.
  • The wallet has traded across 222 events, with $679,980 in tracked activity.

$3,167 on Colts | Wallet win rate: 85%

Proven 85% bettor backs Colts

A highly profitable bettor with 1,646 resolved positions and a broad cross-market track record is selling Commanders, equivalent to buying Colts.

  • This bettor has won 85% of 1,646 resolved positions and is up $2.34M.
  • They sold Commanders at 49¢, equivalent to buying Colts at about 51¢.
  • The wallet has traded across 222 events, with $679,980 in tracked activity.

$1,586 on Colts | Wallet win rate: 85%

94% winner backs Colts

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and extensive cross-market activity sold Commanders, equivalent to buying Colts at 49¢.

  • This bettor has won 108 of 115 resolved positions and is up $327,107.
  • They sold nearly $11,157 of Commanders, equivalent to backing Colts at 49¢.
  • The wallet has traded across 88 events and 100 markets, showing sustained activity beyond this single bet.

$11,157 on Colts | Wallet win rate: 95%

Proven 89% winner adding to Colts

A highly profitable bettor with an 89% win rate added $10.9K to an already large Colts position at 49¢.

  • This bettor has won 2,707 of 3,055 resolved positions and is up $5.49M.
  • They added $10,873 to Colts at 49¢, building on a $46K position already entered at 47¢.
  • The market is liquid with a narrow spread, and Colts odds have risen 6% over the week.

$10,873 on Colts | Wallet win rate: 88%

Two proven winners in three-wallet Colts flow

Three wallets bought Colts for $9.5K, including two highly profitable bettors with 89% and 90% win rates across thousands of resolved positions.

  • Three wallets bought Colts at 46¢, committing about $9,500 in the same direction.
  • Two bettors have 89% and 90% win rates across 3,045 and 2,209 resolved positions, with multimillion-dollar profits.
  • One wallet is adding to an existing Colts position, while the market is priced at 46¢.

$9,506 on Colts

Top Holders

  1. 0xa38a...821d — Commanders, $423,770 (61% win rate)
  2. 0x68df...4815 — Commanders, $30,649 (68% win rate)
  3. 0xf031...c80c — Commanders, $27,879 (89% win rate)
  4. 0x21f3...35e3 — Commanders, $21,739 (87% win rate)
  5. 0x9703...69c2 — Commanders, $4,187 (76% win rate)
  6. 0x44a1...bd21 — Commanders, $4,000 (66% win rate)
  7. 0x52d9...fb1a — Commanders, $2,421 (70% win rate)
  8. 0xfa80...a7be — Commanders, $1,496 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x2714...960f — Commanders, $1,111 (83% win rate)
  10. 0x205b...dd3c — Commanders, $400

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Spread: Colts (-3.5)

Colts vs. Commanders$45,606 tracked6 signalsSportsNFL (All)Games
Colts
100¢
Commanders
0¢

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Colts (-3.5)

2026-10-04 06:01 UTC

$9,317 on Colts at 55¢

55¢→100¢↑45¢

Spread: Colts (-3.5)

2026-10-02 12:18 UTC

$3,167 on Colts at 51¢

51¢→100¢↑49¢

Spread: Colts (-3.5)

2026-10-01 13:01 UTC

$1,586 on Colts at 51¢

51¢→100¢↑49¢

Spread: Colts (-3.5)

2026-09-29 16:27 UTC

$11,157 on Colts at 49¢

49¢→100¢↑51¢

Spread: Colts (-3.5)

2026-09-29 14:33 UTC

$10,873 on Colts at 49¢

49¢→100¢↑51¢

Spread: Colts (-3.5)

2026-09-28 18:38 UTC

$9,506 on Colts at 46¢

46¢→100¢↑54¢

Related Theses