Part of: Colts vs. Commanders

Spread: Colts (-5.5)

In the upcoming NFL football game between Colts and Commanders, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $98,978.

Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games

Notable Trades

Proven winner adds to $231K position

A highly profitable bettor with 267 resolved trades added about $51,725 to Commanders at 52¢, alongside concentrated one-sided flow and a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 267 resolved trades and is up $1.09M lifetime.
  • They added about $51,700 on Commanders at 52¢ while already holding a $231,596 position.
  • Three wallets aligned on the same direction, and market volume spiked sharply above its baseline.

$51,725 on Commanders | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable bettor adds to Commanders position

A highly profitable bettor with 267 resolved positions added to a large Commanders position at 52¢, and the price has since risen to 65¢.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 267 resolved trades and is up $1.09M lifetime.
  • They bought Commanders at 52¢ while already holding a substantial position; the current price is 65¢.
  • The trade is on a game spread market with $5,500 in 24-hour volume.

$23,162 on Commanders | Wallet win rate: 72%

Proven sharp makes $9,600 Colts bet

A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with an 81% win rate made a $9,600 Colts bet amid an exceptional pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 2,831 resolved bets and is up $6.58M lifetime.
  • They bought Colts at 48¢ with $9,600, while market volume spiked 1,386× above its average.
  • The wallet has traded across 823 events, showing a substantial track record beyond this single bet.

$9,600 on Colts | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable bettor scaling into Commanders

A highly profitable bettor with a strong 267-bet record is adding to an already substantial Commanders position, while unusual pre-event volume supports the move.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 267 resolved bets and is up $1.09M lifetime.
  • They added $14,491 to an existing $231,188 Commanders position at 52¢.
  • The trade coincided with a sharp pre-event volume spike in a market with $5,500 in 24-hour volume.

$14,491 on Commanders | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1f3a...895d — Commanders, $231,596 (72% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 — Commanders, $31,867 (64% win rate)
  3. 0xd696...8a49 — Commanders, $10,000 (91% win rate)
  4. 0x68df...4815 — Commanders, $7,000 (68% win rate)
  5. 0xf031...c80c — Commanders, $5,020 (89% win rate)
  6. 0x615d...ab9a — Commanders, $1,250
  7. 0x513d...54c5 — Commanders, $357
  8. 0x7f98...698b — Commanders, $357
  9. 0x1263...f241 — Commanders, $286
  10. 0x2b9d...3373 — Commanders, $268

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Alabama covers, Mississippi State wins

Covers 3 related markets

South Carolina wins by one

Covers 3 related markets

Navy beats Air Force outright

Covers 3 related markets

Colts beat Commanders decisively

Covers 5 related markets

49ers win a low-scoring game

Covers 5 related markets

Lions-Panthers game stays low-scoring

Covers 7 related markets

Falcons win a low-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Warriors win high-scoring matchup

Covers 6 related markets

Nuggets beat Pelicans by 12+

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Colts (-5.5)

Colts vs. Commanders$98,978 tracked4 signalsSportsNFL (All)Games
Colts
100¢
Commanders
0¢

In the upcoming NFL football game between Colts and Commanders, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Colts (-5.5)

2026-10-04 13:43 UTC

$51,725 on Commanders at 52¢

Spread: Colts (-5.5)

2026-10-04 13:35 UTC

$23,162 on Commanders at 52¢

Spread: Colts (-5.5)

2026-10-04 13:31 UTC

$9,600 on Colts at 48¢

48¢→100¢↑52¢

Spread: Colts (-5.5)

2026-10-04 13:31 UTC

$14,491 on Commanders at 52¢

Related Theses