Part of: Colts vs. Commanders

Spread: Colts (-7.5)

In the upcoming NFL football game between Colts and Commanders, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $45,143.

Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games

Notable Trades

Competing flows, 81% cross-market record

A major volume spike and substantial bets on both sides make this game notable, though the competing flows weaken the case for copying Commanders alone.

Three wallets bought $21.6K of Commanders, while four wallets separately bought $34.4K of Colts—strong but conflicting conviction.
Trading volume spiked 33.1× above its 24-hour average ahead of the game.
One cross-market signal reports an 81% win rate across five markets, but that record does not clearly identify which side has the edge here.

$21,627 on Commanders

Proven 81% winner positions across five markets

A highly profitable bettor with 2,831 resolved bets and an 81% win rate bought Colts at 52¢, while positioning across five markets in the same event and event volume surged.

This bettor has won 81% of 2,831 resolved bets and is up $6.58 million.
They bought Colts at 52¢; the current price is 72¢, alongside $54,582 of positioning across five event markets.
Event volume spiked to 20.6 times its 24-hour average.

$7,577 on Colts | Wallet win rate: 81%

Three-wallet Colts buying cluster

Three wallets bought $15.9K of Colts, alongside a sharp trader with a strong long-term record and a notable price rise.

Three wallets bought $15,938 of Colts, with two adding to existing positions.
One participating bettor has a 65% win rate across 1,331 resolved bets and is up $45,430.
Colts odds have risen 19% recently; the cluster’s average entry was about 57¢.

$15,938 on Colts