Part of: Netherlands vs. Sweden - More Markets
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $185,592.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp wallet joins Sweden cluster
A five-wallet cluster is effectively buying Sweden +1.5 after a huge Netherlands price run-up, with one proven 82% winner participating despite some trades looking like profit-taking.
- Five wallets are fading the big Netherlands move, effectively backing Sweden +1.5 at about 28¢.
- One wallet in the group wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $19.7K lifetime.
- This flow is part of a broader $256K pattern across 17 related event markets.
$18,198 on Sweden
97% winner leading cluster
Elite 97% win-rate wallet with over $1M lifetime profit bought $8K of Netherlands before a major move, alongside one-sided cluster flow and a volume spike.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $1.06M lifetime.
- They bought $8K of Netherlands around 50¢ before the market jumped to 80¢.
- Four wallets are all buying the same side, with 24h volume surging nearly 19x.
$8,000 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 97%
New profitable sports whale
A 5-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and strong early results is buying Netherlands -1.5 at 34¢.
- This new bettor is already up $38K with 8 wins in 9 resolved bets.
- The wallet has been flagged 20 times, totaling $152K in notable bets.
- Buying at 34¢ suggests they see meaningful upside on Netherlands winning by 2+ goals.
$3,000 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 91%
Serial cross-market cluster
Three wallets, including a profitable serial cross-market trader, are buying Netherlands -1.5 into a major pre-game volume spike.
- A profitable bettor in this cluster wins 61% of resolved bets and is up $262k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same Netherlands -1.5 side for $5.5k shortly before kickoff.
- Market volume is running 26x above normal, with Netherlands odds up 3 points today.
$5,519 on Netherlands
97% sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Netherlands -1.5 at 32¢.
- This bettor has won 28 of 29 resolved trades and is up $60K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 38 events with a 97% hit rate.
- Entry at 32¢ implies they see Netherlands winning by 2+ as underpriced.
$1,288 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 97%
Serial sports bettor backs underdog spread
Experienced high-volume sports trader put $41k on Sweden +1.5 during a major pre-game volume surge, though lifetime P&L is roughly flat despite an 82% hit rate.
- This bettor has won 82% of 247 resolved markets and has traded across 223 events.
- They placed a $41k bet on Sweden +1.5 at 69¢, a large single position even in an active market.
- The market saw a major pre-game volume surge, suggesting other traders are also positioning ahead of kickoff.
$41,314 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp bettor on spread
Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 82% record bought Netherlands -1.5 during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $19.7K lifetime.
- They bought Netherlands -1.5 at 32¢, implying a roughly 3x payout if it hits.
- Market volume is surging before kickoff, with nearly $485K traded in the last 24 hours.
$2,000 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 83%
90% winner buying spread
Sharp 90% lifetime winner with strong cross-market track record is buying Netherlands -1.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $91.8K lifetime.
- They have a strong cross-market record across 34 events with $107K traded.
- Market volume is spiking before kickoff, with this sharp buying Netherlands at 32¢.
$1,695 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 90%
$103k one-sided sports flow
Surface this because three wallets bought $103k of Sweden against the spread, led by a serial cross-market sports trader and accompanied by a 903x pre-event volume spike.
- Three wallets all bought Sweden, totaling $103k on the same side of the spread.
- The move was led by a serial sports trader who has won 82% of 247 resolved bets.
- Market activity spiked 903x above its historical baseline before the game.
$103,279 on Sweden
97% winning sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and strong profit is buying Netherlands -1.5 at 33¢.
- This bettor has won 37 of 38 resolved positions and is up $11.8K lifetime.
- Their average winning entry was 45¢, so buying Netherlands at 33¢ fits a proven underdog/mid-price edge pattern.
- Entry at 33¢ implies a roughly 3x payout if Netherlands win by 2 or more goals.
$1,299 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0x7671...7244 — Outcome 10429613, $352,877 (82% win rate)
- 0x85f0...3f67 — Outcome 10429613, $143,010 (100% win rate)
- 0x2117...5c26 — Outcome 10429613, $108,963 (44% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 10429613, $34,361 (73% win rate)
- 0x0fce...63d5 — Outcome 10429613, $12,112 (75% win rate)
- 0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 77750921, $8,000 (87% win rate)
- 0x9b89...4244 — Outcome 10429613, $5,000 (73% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 77750921, $3,478 (64% win rate)
- 0xaa4c...7bfd — Outcome 10429613, $3,404 (78% win rate)
- 0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 10429613, $2,810 (63% win rate)
Related Theses
Heroic sweeps Gaimin Gladiators
Covers 3 related markets
Knicks win high-scoring game
Covers 5 related markets
Spurs win high-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
Türkiye wins high-scoring rout
Covers 4 related markets
Thunder win low-scoring matchup
Covers 7 related markets
Iran peace deal odds mispriced
Covers 3 related markets
Spurs win high-scoring game
Covers 5 related markets
Knicks win high-scoring game
Covers 7 related markets
Knicks-Spurs stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
SpaceX IPO near $1.9T
Covers 4 related markets
