Part of: Patriots vs. Bills

Spread: Patriots (-2.5)

In the upcoming NFL football game between Patriots and Bills, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Patriots" if the Patriots win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bills". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,522.

Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games

Notable Trades

Proven bettor with strong event positioning

A highly profitable bettor with 1,060 resolved positions bought Bills at 54¢, and the market has since moved to 62¢ amid substantial positioning across this event.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 1,060 resolved positions and is up over $10.6M.
  • They bought Bills at 54¢; the current price is 62¢, with $47,643 wagered across nine markets in this game.
  • The $3,522 bet was large relative to recent market volume.

$3,522 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd38b...5029 — Bills, $6,522 (81% win rate)
  2. 0x2005...75ea — Bills, $1,310 (58% win rate)
  3. 0x154c...658e — Bills, $314 (79% win rate)
  4. 0x3ca9...424a — Bills, $206
  5. 0x0eca...c56a — Bills, $180
  6. 0x48b0...a348 — Bills, $65
  7. 0x1a59...a57e — Bills, $48
  8. 0xf30a...61fb — Bills, $43
  9. 0x5c54...f1d2 — Bills, $42
  10. 0xd9fe...db0d — Bills, $7

Related Theses

Bills win a low-scoring game

Covers 6 related markets

Packers win narrowly in a shootout

Covers 10 related markets

Rams win in a shootout

Covers 8 related markets

Missouri wins and covers in shootout

Covers 3 related markets

Steelers win in a shootout

Covers 3 related markets

Auburn wins a low-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Eagles edge Bears in tight game

Covers 5 related markets

Colts beat Commanders by single digits

Covers 20 related markets

Jaguars beat the Patriots outright

Covers 3 related markets

Florida State wins a low-scoring game

Covers 6 related markets

Spread: Patriots (-2.5)

Patriots vs. Bills$3,522 tracked1 signalSportsNFL (All)Games
Patriots
100¢
Bills
0¢

In the upcoming NFL football game between Patriots and Bills, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Patriots" if the Patriots win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bills". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Patriots (-2.5)

2026-10-04 18:17 UTC

$3,522 on Bills at 54¢

Related Theses