Part of: Senegal vs. Iraq - More Markets
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $40,302.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
Sharp cross-market cluster
High-conviction Iraq +2.5 cluster led by a proven sharp wallet with 89% win rate and strong cross-market soccer track record.
- A bettor who wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $701k is buying Iraq here.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $11.5k, with $26.5k positioned across 3 related markets.
- This market saw a 20.7x volume spike, suggesting fresh money is moving in before the match.
$11,463 on Iraq
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports trader bought Senegal into a major pre-event volume spike, though the bet is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor is up $80k over 185 resolved markets with a 63% hit rate.
- They have traded across 119 events, suggesting a repeat sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
- The market saw a 116x pre-game volume spike, and they entered Senegal at 35¢.
$1,750 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp cluster buying Senegal
Strong one-sided Senegal flow from a 5-wallet cluster includes two highly profitable sharp bettors and coincides with a major pre-event volume and price surge.
- Two bettors in this cluster have elite records: one wins 88% and is up $920K, another wins 93% and is up $230K.
- Five wallets bought $23K of Senegal, with some entries near 39¢ before the market jumped to 68¢.
- The market has seen a 21x volume spike and Senegal’s price is up 33 points in the last day.
$23,009 on Senegal
93% winner buying spread
Sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable 93% winner bought Senegal -2.5 at 36¢ despite only a weak new-wallet signal.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $820K lifetime.
- They have put $4.7M to work historically, making this a proven copy-trade wallet rather than just a size signal.
- Entry at 36¢ implies a potential ~2.8x payout if Senegal win by 3+ goals.
$3,000 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 93%
80% winner backing Senegal
Sharp-wallet signal: this bettor is 8-2 on resolved positions with positive P&L and is buying Senegal -2.5 at 36¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $2,345 lifetime.
- They are buying Senegal at 36¢, implying a roughly 2.8x payout if Senegal win by 3+ goals.
- The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so the entry price is actionable.
$1,079 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 76261413, $76,000 (86% win rate)
- 0x5fd8...ce32 — Outcome 76261413, $47,000 (94% win rate)
- 0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 76261413, $11,824 (88% win rate)
- 0xe987...f0e1 — Outcome 76261413, $10,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x224f...514a — Outcome 76261413, $7,800 (85% win rate)
- 0xfe6f...37b1 — Outcome 76261413, $6,416 (50% win rate)
- 0xe6ad...85f7 — Outcome 76261413, $6,383 (50% win rate)
- 0x15ec...267d — Outcome 76261413, $5,000 (76% win rate)
- 0xbb0b...3790 — Outcome 76261413, $4,367 (76% win rate)
- 0x6a32...0086 — Outcome 76261413, $3,500 (82% win rate)
Related Theses
Heroic sweeps Gaimin Gladiators
Covers 3 related markets
Knicks win high-scoring game
Covers 5 related markets
Spurs win high-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
Türkiye wins high-scoring rout
Covers 4 related markets
Thunder win low-scoring matchup
Covers 7 related markets
Iran peace deal odds mispriced
Covers 3 related markets
Spurs win high-scoring game
Covers 5 related markets
Knicks win high-scoring game
Covers 7 related markets
Portugal wins big clean sheet
Covers 4 related markets
Knicks-Spurs stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
