Part of: Senegal vs. Iraq - More Markets

Spread: Senegal (-2.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $40,302.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp cross-market cluster

High-conviction Iraq +2.5 cluster led by a proven sharp wallet with 89% win rate and strong cross-market soccer track record.

  • A bettor who wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $701k is buying Iraq here.
  • Four wallets bought the same side for $11.5k, with $26.5k positioned across 3 related markets.
  • This market saw a 20.7x volume spike, suggesting fresh money is moving in before the match.

$11,463 on Iraq

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports trader bought Senegal into a major pre-event volume spike, though the bet is modest relative to market liquidity.

  • This bettor is up $80k over 185 resolved markets with a 63% hit rate.
  • They have traded across 119 events, suggesting a repeat sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
  • The market saw a 116x pre-game volume spike, and they entered Senegal at 35¢.

$1,750 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 64%

Sharp cluster buying Senegal

Strong one-sided Senegal flow from a 5-wallet cluster includes two highly profitable sharp bettors and coincides with a major pre-event volume and price surge.

  • Two bettors in this cluster have elite records: one wins 88% and is up $920K, another wins 93% and is up $230K.
  • Five wallets bought $23K of Senegal, with some entries near 39¢ before the market jumped to 68¢.
  • The market has seen a 21x volume spike and Senegal’s price is up 33 points in the last day.

$23,009 on Senegal

93% winner buying spread

Sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable 93% winner bought Senegal -2.5 at 36¢ despite only a weak new-wallet signal.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $820K lifetime.
  • They have put $4.7M to work historically, making this a proven copy-trade wallet rather than just a size signal.
  • Entry at 36¢ implies a potential ~2.8x payout if Senegal win by 3+ goals.

$3,000 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 93%

80% winner backing Senegal

Sharp-wallet signal: this bettor is 8-2 on resolved positions with positive P&L and is buying Senegal -2.5 at 36¢.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $2,345 lifetime.
  • They are buying Senegal at 36¢, implying a roughly 2.8x payout if Senegal win by 3+ goals.
  • The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so the entry price is actionable.

$1,079 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0x23d8...0288 Outcome 76261413, $76,000 (86% win rate)
  2. 0x5fd8...ce32 Outcome 76261413, $47,000 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xa4fd...748b Outcome 76261413, $11,824 (88% win rate)
  4. 0xe987...f0e1 Outcome 76261413, $10,000 (99% win rate)
  5. 0x224f...514a Outcome 76261413, $7,800 (85% win rate)
  6. 0xfe6f...37b1 Outcome 76261413, $6,416 (50% win rate)
  7. 0xe6ad...85f7 Outcome 76261413, $6,383 (50% win rate)
  8. 0x15ec...267d Outcome 76261413, $5,000 (76% win rate)
  9. 0xbb0b...3790 Outcome 76261413, $4,367 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x6a32...0086 Outcome 76261413, $3,500 (82% win rate)

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Türkiye wins high-scoring rout

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Thunder win low-scoring matchup

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Iran peace deal odds mispriced

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Spurs win high-scoring game

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Spread: Senegal (-2.5)

ResolvedSenegal vs. Iraq - More Markets$40,302 tracked5 signalsFIFA World CupSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Senegal" if Senegal win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Iraq". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Iraq
74¢
52¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Senegal (-2.5)

5d ago

$11,463 on Iraq at 47¢

Spread: Senegal (-2.5)

5d ago

$1,750 on Senegal at 35¢

Spread: Senegal (-2.5)

5d ago

$23,009 on Senegal at 41¢

Spread: Senegal (-2.5)

5d ago

$3,000 on Senegal at 36¢

Spread: Senegal (-2.5)

5d ago

$1,079 on Senegal at 36¢

Related Theses