Part of: Spain vs. Austria - More Markets
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
36 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,223,870.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
10-wallet contrarian cluster
A 10-wallet cluster, including several profitable high-win traders, put $39.6k behind Austria against the spread despite the market moving sharply toward Spain.
- 10 wallets backed Austria for $39.6k, creating a strong one-sided cluster.
- Several participants have strong records, including bettors winning 77%–83% of resolved trades with positive lifetime profit.
- The market has moved hard against them, with Austria now near 12¢ versus the cluster’s roughly 36¢ average entry.
$39,613 on Austria
Elite bettor backs Austria spread
Elite profitable sports bettor joined a large one-sided Austria flow backed by 12 wallets, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being highly liquid.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $4.4M lifetime.
- 12 wallets are all buying Austria, totaling about $765K on the same side.
- The wallet has traded across 449 events with an 81% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
$34,450 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable new-wallet cluster
A highly profitable 9-day-old wallet bought Austria as part of a large 12-wallet one-sided move totaling about $765k.
- This new wallet is already up about $978k and has won all 7 resolved bets so far.
- 12 wallets are all buying Austria, with roughly $765k moving the same way.
- This trade entered at 53¢ and the market has already moved to 56¢, suggesting the flow is pushing odds higher.
$38,814 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 48%
97% winner with linked flow
A highly profitable 97% win-rate bettor bought Spain while a 14-wallet linked cluster put nearly $100k on the same side.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $180k lifetime.
- 14 wallets are all buying Spain, totaling $98k on the same side.
- The trader entered at 48¢, implying nearly even odds for Spain to cover -1.5.
$1,500 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 96%
95% winner joins 14-wallet Spain cluster
Elite 95% win-rate bettor bought Spain -1.5 alongside a 14-wallet same-direction cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.88M lifetime.
- 14 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $98K in Spain bets.
- Market volume is running 39x above normal, and this entry at 48¢ implies near-even odds on Spain winning by 2+.
$9,988 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 96%
71% serial bettor backs Spain
High-score alert from a profitable serial cross-market sports bettor, reinforced by six-wallet one-sided Spain buying and a pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 71% of 2,303 resolved markets and is up about $102k lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the same Spain side, totaling about $46.7k in one-sided flow.
- The trader is active across five markets in this event, suggesting a focused pre-game thesis.
$1,858 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 71%
90% winner joins Spain cluster
A highly profitable 90% win-rate bettor bought Spain alongside one-sided flow from six wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $164,740 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 95 events with the same 90% win rate.
- Six wallets bought Spain in the same direction, totaling $46,680.
$2,000 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 92%
86% winner in 17-wallet cluster
A proven profitable wallet is buying Austria alongside a large same-direction funded cluster, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market’s high liquidity.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $151K lifetime.
- A 17-wallet funded cluster is active here, with 9 wallets buying the same Austria side.
- Same-direction buying totals $757K, far larger than this wallet’s single $5.7K entry.
$5,651 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 86%
9-wallet one-sided surge
Strong coordinated one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike outweigh the individual wallet's weak lifetime P&L.
- 9 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $757k in coordinated flow.
- Market volume is running 39x above its historical average ahead of kickoff.
- Entry at 49¢ implies nearly even odds on Austria covering the spread.
$2,571 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 57%
9-wallet spread push
Strong one-sided cluster signal: 9 wallets bought Austria on the spread for $757k alongside a major pre-event volume spike, despite this wallet’s weak standalone record.
- 9 wallets are all buying Austria on the spread, totaling about $757k in one direction.
- Market volume is surging before kickoff, with activity running 39x above its historical average.
- This specific wallet has a weak record, but the coordinated flow is the main signal here.
$9,698 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 45%
Top Holders
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 49469793, $592,497 (87% win rate)
- 0xc31d...4ebe — Outcome 49469793, $300,000 (52% win rate)
- 0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 49469793, $105,571 (61% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 49469793, $89,773 (81% win rate)
- 0xd696...8a49 — Outcome 49469793, $56,400 (89% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 49469793, $50,000 (85% win rate)
- 0x0c78...77f1 — Outcome 49469793, $43,238 (79% win rate)
- 0x457f...2a64 — Outcome 49469793, $42,888 (100% win rate)
- 0xc58d...9373 — Outcome 49469793, $31,837 (57% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 49469793, $27,722 (56% win rate)
Related Theses
France routs England in high-scoring match
Covers 9 related markets
Spurs win by three
Covers 14 related markets
Top contender wins World Cup
Covers 4 related markets
Spain routs in goalfest
Covers 9 related markets
Top favorites to win World Cup
Covers 4 related markets
England rout Ghana in goalfest
Covers 9 related markets
South Africa-Korea market mispriced
Covers 3 related markets
Belgium wins three one
Covers 10 related markets
Ecuador-Germany won't draw
Covers 3 related markets
Netherlands rout Tunisia early
Covers 9 related markets
