Part of: Spain vs. Austria - More Markets
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Austria". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
36 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,223,870.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
10-wallet contrarian cluster
A 10-wallet cluster, including several profitable high-win traders, put $39.6k behind Austria against the spread despite the market moving sharply toward Spain.
- 10 wallets backed Austria for $39.6k, creating a strong one-sided cluster.
- Several participants have strong records, including bettors winning 77%–83% of resolved trades with positive lifetime profit.
- The market has moved hard against them, with Austria now near 12¢ versus the cluster’s roughly 36¢ average entry.
$39,613 on Austria
Elite bettor backs Austria spread
Elite profitable sports bettor joined a large one-sided Austria flow backed by 12 wallets, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being highly liquid.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $4.4M lifetime.
- 12 wallets are all buying Austria, totaling about $765K on the same side.
- The wallet has traded across 449 events with an 81% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
$34,450 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable new-wallet cluster
A highly profitable 9-day-old wallet bought Austria as part of a large 12-wallet one-sided move totaling about $765k.
- This new wallet is already up about $978k and has won all 7 resolved bets so far.
- 12 wallets are all buying Austria, with roughly $765k moving the same way.
- This trade entered at 53¢ and the market has already moved to 56¢, suggesting the flow is pushing odds higher.
$38,814 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 48%
95% winner joins 14-wallet Spain cluster
Elite 95% win-rate bettor bought Spain -1.5 alongside a 14-wallet same-direction cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.88M lifetime.
- 14 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $98K in Spain bets.
- Market volume is running 39x above normal, and this entry at 48¢ implies near-even odds on Spain winning by 2+.
$9,988 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 76%
97% winner with linked flow
A highly profitable 97% win-rate bettor bought Spain while a 14-wallet linked cluster put nearly $100k on the same side.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $180k lifetime.
- 14 wallets are all buying Spain, totaling $98k on the same side.
- The trader entered at 48¢, implying nearly even odds for Spain to cover -1.5.
$1,500 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 96%
71% serial bettor backs Spain
High-score alert from a profitable serial cross-market sports bettor, reinforced by six-wallet one-sided Spain buying and a pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 71% of 2,303 resolved markets and is up about $102k lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the same Spain side, totaling about $46.7k in one-sided flow.
- The trader is active across five markets in this event, suggesting a focused pre-game thesis.
$1,858 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 76%
90% winner joins Spain cluster
A highly profitable 90% win-rate bettor bought Spain alongside one-sided flow from six wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $164,740 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 95 events with the same 90% win rate.
- Six wallets bought Spain in the same direction, totaling $46,680.
$2,000 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 92%
86% winner in 17-wallet cluster
A proven profitable wallet is buying Austria alongside a large same-direction funded cluster, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market’s high liquidity.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $151K lifetime.
- A 17-wallet funded cluster is active here, with 9 wallets buying the same Austria side.
- Same-direction buying totals $757K, far larger than this wallet’s single $5.7K entry.
$5,651 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 86%
9-wallet one-sided surge
Strong coordinated one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike outweigh the individual wallet's weak lifetime P&L.
- 9 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $757k in coordinated flow.
- Market volume is running 39x above its historical average ahead of kickoff.
- Entry at 49¢ implies nearly even odds on Austria covering the spread.
$2,571 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 54%
9-wallet spread push
Strong one-sided cluster signal: 9 wallets bought Austria on the spread for $757k alongside a major pre-event volume spike, despite this wallet’s weak standalone record.
- 9 wallets are all buying Austria on the spread, totaling about $757k in one direction.
- Market volume is surging before kickoff, with activity running 39x above its historical average.
- This specific wallet has a weak record, but the coordinated flow is the main signal here.
$9,698 on Austria | Wallet win rate: 45%
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