Part of: Spain vs. Austria - More Markets

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

This Polymarket spread market asks whether Spain will beat Austria by 4 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup game on July 2 at 3:00 PM ET. It resolves to Spain if Spain covers the -3.5 spread; otherwise it resolves to Austria, based on the official final score on fifa.com. PolySpotter currently tracks $4,593 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market.

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Austria". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,593.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 64% win rate and $3.1M lifetime P&L bought Spain -3.5 at 12¢.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 5,047 resolved bets and is up about $3.1M lifetime.
  • They are a heavy cross-market trader, with over $11.6M tracked across 842 markets.
  • Buying Spain at 12¢ implies a high-upside view that Spain can win by 4+ goals.

$4,593 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

  1. 0x076d...8d4c Spain, $38,272 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x204f...5e14 Austria, $28,830 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x0346...52a5 Austria, $7,755 (53% win rate)
  4. 0x8e5e...0381 Spain, $588 (48% win rate)
  5. 0x0823...ec6a Austria, $448
  6. 0x2d6a...8add Austria, $437 (57% win rate)
  7. 0xd604...cb5f Austria, $250 (68% win rate)
  8. 0xcf73...0215 Austria, $245 (56% win rate)
  9. 0xce72...cbef Austria, $225 (61% win rate)
  10. 0x5811...0976 Austria, $200 (45% win rate)

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt

Covers 3 related markets

Germany dominates Curaçao shutout

Covers 6 related markets

Conflicting Brazil Haiti blowout bets

Covers 6 related markets

Türkiye beats United States

Covers 3 related markets

Early goals, Jordan keeps it close

Covers 5 related markets

Cabo Verde keeps it close

Covers 3 related markets

Ecuador will not beat Germany

Covers 3 related markets

Mexico and Korea draw

Covers 3 related markets

Canada wins in shutout rout

Covers 6 related markets

Japan Sweden ends in draw

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

13hSpain vs. Austria - More Markets$4,593 tracked1 signalSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Spain
12¢
Austria
89¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Austria". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Austria
91¢
88¢
85¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

1d ago

$4,593 on Spain at 12¢

12¢12¢

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15…Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in …
Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
Wallet_0x076da trades 6 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
Conflicting Brazil Haiti blowout bets
Wallet_0x076da trades 6 related markets
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U…Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Türkiye beats United States
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Türkiye vs. United States…Will United States win on 2026…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25…
Early goals, Jordan keeps it close
Wallet_0x076da trades 5 related markets
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half…
Cabo Verde keeps it close
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U …Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
Ecuador will not beat Germany
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25…Will Germany win on 2026-06-25…Will Ecuador vs. Germany end i…
Mexico and Korea draw
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Will Korea Republic win on 202…Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic…
Canada wins in shutout rout
Wallet_0x076da trades 6 related markets
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Spread: Canada (-1.5)Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.…
Japan Sweden ends in draw
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a…