Part of: Spain vs. Austria - More Markets
Spread: Spain (-3.5)
This Polymarket spread market asks whether Spain will beat Austria by 4 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup game on July 2 at 3:00 PM ET. It resolves to Spain if Spain covers the -3.5 spread; otherwise it resolves to Austria, based on the official final score on fifa.com. PolySpotter currently tracks $4,593 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Austria". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,593.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 64% win rate and $3.1M lifetime P&L bought Spain -3.5 at 12¢.
- This bettor has won 64% of 5,047 resolved bets and is up about $3.1M lifetime.
- They are a heavy cross-market trader, with over $11.6M tracked across 842 markets.
- Buying Spain at 12¢ implies a high-upside view that Spain can win by 4+ goals.
$4,593 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0x076d...8d4c — Spain, $38,272 (63% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Austria, $28,830 (53% win rate)
- 0x0346...52a5 — Austria, $7,755 (53% win rate)
- 0x8e5e...0381 — Spain, $588 (48% win rate)
- 0x0823...ec6a — Austria, $448
- 0x2d6a...8add — Austria, $437 (57% win rate)
- 0xd604...cb5f — Austria, $250 (68% win rate)
- 0xcf73...0215 — Austria, $245 (56% win rate)
- 0xce72...cbef — Austria, $225 (61% win rate)
- 0x5811...0976 — Austria, $200 (45% win rate)
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