Part of: SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,054.

Categories: Finance, Equities, Stocks, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Equity Daily Pyth, SPY, S&P 500, Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

Profitable serial macro bettor

Experienced profitable trader bought SPY Down at 90¢ alongside a major price breakout, making this a modest but follow-worthy momentum trade.

  • This bettor has 1,716 resolved trades, wins 63% of them, and is up $142k lifetime.
  • They bought Down at 90¢ after the outcome jumped about 31 points beyond its prior range.
  • The market is liquid, but the move is directional and close to same-day resolution.

$2,605 on Down | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable high-volume bettor placed a $6.8k Up bet on a quiet SPY daily market, backed by a long cross-market track record.

  • This bettor has a long record: 1,716 resolved trades and $142k in lifetime profit.
  • The $6.8k Up bet was nearly 3x the market’s prior 24h volume, showing real conviction.
  • They entered at 53¢ while the market is around 50¢ now, offering a better price than their entry.

$6,750 on Up | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable serial macro bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet made a large thin-market SPY Up bet, backed by a long cross-market trading history.

  • This bettor is up $128K across 1,710 resolved trades and has deployed $5.4M lifetime.
  • Their $1.7K Up buy was 74% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a thin market.
  • They have traded 30 related event markets with a 63% win rate, suggesting a repeatable macro pattern.

$1,699 on Up | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4a39...1ddb Outcome 77697627, $1,309
  2. 0xdabd...6ada Outcome 77697627, $742 (69% win rate)
  3. 0xf021...df56 Outcome 77697627, $700
  4. 0x50c8...caa2 Outcome 23932922, $496
  5. 0xba05...4e58 Outcome 77697627, $313
  6. 0x9958...a221 Outcome 77697627, $300
  7. 0xe8a0...3aea Outcome 77697627, $230
  8. 0x4d1b...1419 Outcome 77697627, $200 (71% win rate)
  9. 0x204b...8ca3 Outcome 77697627, $188
  10. 0x7c4e...5aef Outcome 77697627, $157

Related Theses

SPY rises on May 22

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S&P 500 rises May 28

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S&P 500 rises May 26

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SPY rises on June 1

Covers 1 related market

S&P 500 falls May 29

Covers 1 related market

S&P rises on June 1

Covers 1 related market

SPY rises on June 24

Covers 1 related market

SPY will fall June 3

Covers 1 related market

SPY rises on June 9

Covers 1 related market

S&P 500 rises June 16

Covers 1 related market

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?

ResolvedSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?$11,054 tracked3 signalsFinanceEquitiesStocksDailyUp or DownDaily-CloseHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceEquity Daily PythSPYS&P 500Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 3, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 3, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Notable Trades

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?

49d ago

$2,605 on Down at 90¢

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?

50d ago

$6,750 on Up at 53¢

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?

50d ago

$1,699 on Up at 58¢

Related Theses