Trader_0x4d1bc is a Silver-tier Polymarket trader who has generated +$7,428 in profit with a 70% win rate across $731,877 invested on Polymarket.
0x4d1bcbaeed22c6da173b1a356c3c6d2270081419
P&L
$7,428
Win Rate
70%
Markets
491
W/L
323/140
Flagged
0x
Claude 4.8 released by June 15?
Yes · Entry 97¢ → 100¢
$575
+$17
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?
No · Entry 94¢ → 89¢
$120
-$7
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?
No · Entry 93¢ → 100¢
$327
+$24
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?
Down · Entry 44¢ → 0¢
$600
+$34
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?
Up · Entry 49¢ → 100¢
$600
-$22
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Yes · Entry 94¢ → 100¢
$200
+$5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?
Up · Entry 15¢ → 0¢
$200
+$70
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?
Down · Entry 82¢ → 100¢
$200
-$64
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?
Up · Entry 85¢ → 100¢
$500
-$173
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?
Down · Entry 14¢ → 0¢
$500
+$180
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No · Entry 87¢ → 95¢
$5,535
+$528
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
No · Entry 95¢ → 99¢
$4,180
+$172
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
No · Entry 91¢ → 95¢
$1,602
+$75
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No · Entry 50¢ → 38¢
$13,997
-$3,490
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · Entry 44¢ → 55¢
$13,997
+$3,507
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes · Entry 40¢ → 46¢
$600
+$96
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Yes · Entry 96¢ → 100¢
$2,953
-$1,001
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
No · Entry 1¢ → 0¢
$2,276
+$1,036
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No · Entry 98¢ → 100¢
$4,020
+$50
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?
Down · Entry 41¢ → 0¢
$200
-$31