Trader_0x4d1bc is a Silver-tier Polymarket trader who has generated +$14,314 in profit with a 71% win rate across $1,055,437 invested on Polymarket.
0x4d1bcbaeed22c6da173b1a356c3c6d2270081419
P&L
$14,314
Win Rate
71%
Markets
651
W/L
425/172
Flagged
0x
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · Entry 80¢ → 60¢
$1,827
-$467
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No · Entry 53¢ → 51¢
$1,000
-$30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · Entry 46¢ → 48¢
$1,300
+$42
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
No · Entry 79¢ → 100¢
$1,856
+$327
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?
Yes · Entry 90¢ → 100¢
$681
+$6
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
No · Entry 13¢ → 0¢
$150
-$16
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
Yes · Entry 97¢ → 100¢
$1,020
+$22
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 14?
Yes · Entry 89¢ → 100¢
$327
+$32
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · Entry 66¢ → 61¢
$668
-$52
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
Yes · Entry 96¢ → 0¢
$4,811
-$4,370
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
No · Entry 95¢ → 100¢
$1,111
+$8
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?
Yes · Entry 99¢ → 100¢
$874
+$1
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
No · Entry 33¢ → 0¢
$1,591
-$420
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?
No · Entry 93¢ → 0¢
$500
-$46
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?
Yes · Entry 94¢ → 100¢
$3,487
+$196
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
Yes · Entry 98¢ → 0¢
$2,347
-$2,179
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
Yes · Entry 86¢ → 100¢
$50
-$31
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · Entry 51¢ → 45¢
$249
-$33
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · Entry 74¢ → 69¢
$795
-$53
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026?
Yes · Entry 100¢ → 100¢
$349
+$1