Part of: SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,114.
Categories: Finance, Equities, Stocks, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Equity Daily Pyth, SPY, S&P 500, Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
Serial timer up $54K
Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Up seconds before close, with strong timing and price-impact signals as the market moved to 100%.
- This bettor is up $54K lifetime and has traded across 541 resolved markets.
- They bought $6.6K of Up in the final 64 seconds before resolution, paying 77¢ to 90¢.
- The market moved sharply to 100% after their buys, matching a pattern of profitable last-minute bets.
$6,626 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial timer buying Down
Profitable serial near-resolution bettor bought Down 35 minutes before SPY resolution during a rapid 10-point move toward Down.
- This wallet is up $121k lifetime and has a pattern of betting close to resolution.
- Bought Down 35 minutes before the close as the market moved 10 points toward Down in 5 minutes.
- Entry at 25¢ implies a 4x payout if SPY closes lower.
$1,025 on Down | Wallet win rate: 46%
$121K serial timer
Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Down 35 minutes before SPY market resolution, with a strong lifetime P&L despite modest recent sizing.
- This bettor is up $121K lifetime and has a pattern of betting close to resolution.
- They bought $2.2K of Down about 35 minutes before the market closes.
- Entry around 24¢ has already moved to 30¢, suggesting early confirmation.
$2,244 on Down | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable serial timer buying Down
Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Down 37 minutes before SPY market close, with a strong timing signal and notable recent price movement.
- This bettor is up $121k lifetime and has a pattern of betting close to resolution.
- They bought Down 37 minutes before the market closes, when late SPY price action matters most.
- Entry at 23¢ implies a ~4.3x payout if SPY closes lower.
$1,219 on Down | Wallet win rate: 46%
Top Holders
- 0x5466...0247 — Outcome 50894143, $7,634
- 0x5276...800d — Outcome 50894143, $1,000
- 0xd555...e28a — Outcome 50894143, $400 (74% win rate)
- 0xe0c1...7eda — Outcome 50894143, $400
- 0xa614...7d4c — Outcome 50894143, $300
- 0xc49e...0af7 — Outcome 50894143, $200
- 0xedcc...4d5e — Outcome 50894143, $200
- 0xe215...a3d9 — Outcome 50894143, $100
- 0x0247...64a1 — Outcome 50894143, $90
- 0xf169...371a — Outcome 50894143, $71
Related Theses
Iran deal timing arbitrage
Covers 5 related markets
SPY rises on May 27
Covers 1 related market
S&P opens lower May 19
Covers 1 related market
WTI rises on May 19
Covers 1 related market
