Part of: SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,114.

Categories: Finance, Equities, Stocks, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Equity Daily Pyth, SPY, S&P 500, Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

Serial timer up $54K

Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Up seconds before close, with strong timing and price-impact signals as the market moved to 100%.

  • This bettor is up $54K lifetime and has traded across 541 resolved markets.
  • They bought $6.6K of Up in the final 64 seconds before resolution, paying 77¢ to 90¢.
  • The market moved sharply to 100% after their buys, matching a pattern of profitable last-minute bets.

$6,626 on Up | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable serial timer buying Down

Profitable serial near-resolution bettor bought Down 35 minutes before SPY resolution during a rapid 10-point move toward Down.

  • This wallet is up $121k lifetime and has a pattern of betting close to resolution.
  • Bought Down 35 minutes before the close as the market moved 10 points toward Down in 5 minutes.
  • Entry at 25¢ implies a 4x payout if SPY closes lower.

$1,025 on Down | Wallet win rate: 46%

$121K serial timer

Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Down 35 minutes before SPY market resolution, with a strong lifetime P&L despite modest recent sizing.

  • This bettor is up $121K lifetime and has a pattern of betting close to resolution.
  • They bought $2.2K of Down about 35 minutes before the market closes.
  • Entry around 24¢ has already moved to 30¢, suggesting early confirmation.

$2,244 on Down | Wallet win rate: 46%

Profitable serial timer buying Down

Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Down 37 minutes before SPY market close, with a strong timing signal and notable recent price movement.

  • This bettor is up $121k lifetime and has a pattern of betting close to resolution.
  • They bought Down 37 minutes before the market closes, when late SPY price action matters most.
  • Entry at 23¢ implies a ~4.3x payout if SPY closes lower.

$1,219 on Down | Wallet win rate: 46%

Top Holders

  1. 0x90c2...8c24 Outcome 50894143, $66,004 (46% win rate)
  2. 0x5466...0247 Outcome 50894143, $7,634
  3. 0x50c8...caa2 Outcome 10243760, $2,937
  4. 0xf4bf...23f6 Outcome 50894143, $623 (59% win rate)
  5. 0xd01f...ce7a Outcome 50894143, $450 (46% win rate)
  6. 0x4574...f61e Outcome 50894143, $432 (90% win rate)
  7. 0xd555...e28a Outcome 50894143, $400 (65% win rate)
  8. 0xe0c1...7eda Outcome 50894143, $400
  9. 0xa614...7d4c Outcome 50894143, $300
  10. 0xb307...9c25 Outcome 50894143, $250

Related Theses

SPY rises on May 27

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

S&P opens lower May 19

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

WTI rises on May 19

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?

ResolvedSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?$11,114 tracked4 signalsFinanceEquitiesStocksDailyUp or DownDaily-CloseHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceEquity Daily PythSPYS&P 500Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on May 27, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on May 27, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Notable Trades

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?

2h ago

$6,626 on Up at 85¢

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?

3h ago

$1,025 on Down at 25¢

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?

3h ago

$2,244 on Down at 24¢

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?

3h ago

$1,219 on Down at 23¢

Related Theses