Part of: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?
This Polymarket-style prediction market covers total kills in Game 2 of ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming in LPL Group Nirvana, scheduled for May 16 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to Over if Game 2 has 25 or more total kills, and Under if it finishes with 24 or fewer; PolySpotter is tracking $3,105 in smart money with recent alerts leaning Under.
In the upcoming match between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 16 at 5:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 2. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 25 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,105.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
81% winner buying Under
Proven sharp esports bettor with an 81% win rate and strong cross-market history bought $3.1k of Under at 41¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $305,922 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market bettor across 33 events with the same 81% win rate.
- The $3.1k Under buy at 41¢ is large for this market and implies a ~2.4x payout if correct.
$3,105 on Under | Wallet win rate: 81%
Quiet-market Under whale
A single bettor put $2,000 on Under in an extremely quiet esports kills market, dwarfing 24h volume despite only a modest wallet track record.
- A $2,000 Under bet is over 17x this market’s entire 24h volume.
- The market is very thin with only $116 traded and a wide 32¢ spread, so this is a high-conviction position.
- The wallet is profitable overall, up about $50k across 388 resolved bets.
$2,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 52%
Top Holders
- 0x6918...782b — Over, $19,227 (63% win rate)
- 0x8725...eb10 — Under, $8,776 (81% win rate)
- 0x8688...9d8c — Under, $4,762 (52% win rate)
- 0xef21...3dc9 — Under, $2,047 (95% win rate)
- 0x66ea...6791 — Under, $1,906 (56% win rate)
- 0xe081...fc19 — Under, $1,463
- 0xec54...e8c1 — Under, $1,090 (68% win rate)
- 0x6e32...ab65 — Over, $1,077 (56% win rate)
- 0xa500...39d1 — Over, $1,000
- 0x4fbf...4605 — Under, $833
Related Theses
Game 2 stays low-kill
Covers 1 related market
Falcons sweep ex-HEROIC
Covers 1 related market
