Part of: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?

This Polymarket-style prediction market covers total kills in Game 2 of ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming in LPL Group Nirvana, scheduled for May 16 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to Over if Game 2 has 25 or more total kills, and Under if it finishes with 24 or fewer; PolySpotter is tracking $3,105 in smart money with recent alerts leaning Under.

In the upcoming match between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 16 at 5:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 2. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 25 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,105.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

81% winner buying Under

Proven sharp esports bettor with an 81% win rate and strong cross-market history bought $3.1k of Under at 41¢.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $305,922 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market bettor across 33 events with the same 81% win rate.
  • The $3.1k Under buy at 41¢ is large for this market and implies a ~2.4x payout if correct.

$3,105 on Under | Wallet win rate: 81%

Quiet-market Under whale

A single bettor put $2,000 on Under in an extremely quiet esports kills market, dwarfing 24h volume despite only a modest wallet track record.

  • A $2,000 Under bet is over 17x this market’s entire 24h volume.
  • The market is very thin with only $116 traded and a wide 32¢ spread, so this is a high-conviction position.
  • The wallet is profitable overall, up about $50k across 388 resolved bets.

$2,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 52%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6918...782b Over, $19,227 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x8725...eb10 Under, $8,776 (81% win rate)
  3. 0x8688...9d8c Under, $4,762 (52% win rate)
  4. 0xef21...3dc9 Under, $2,047 (95% win rate)
  5. 0x66ea...6791 Under, $1,906 (56% win rate)
  6. 0xe081...fc19 Under, $1,463
  7. 0xec54...e8c1 Under, $1,090 (68% win rate)
  8. 0x6e32...ab65 Over, $1,077 (56% win rate)
  9. 0xa500...39d1 Over, $1,000
  10. 0x4fbf...4605 Under, $833

Related Theses

Game 2 stays low-kill

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Falcons sweep ex-HEROIC

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?

6hLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$5,105 tracked2 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Over
57¢
Under
43¢

In the upcoming match between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 16 at 5:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 2. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 25 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Over
74¢
62¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?

1h ago

$3,105 on Under at 41¢

41¢43¢2¢

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?

1h ago

$2,000 on Under at 42¢

42¢43¢1¢

Related Theses