Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,130.

Categories: Politics, Trump, Culture, uap, ufo, Aliens

Notable Trades

71% win-rate serial trader

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a strong 71% win rate made a meaningful buy into a relatively quiet market at 58¢, suggesting informed conviction rather than random flow.

  • This bettor has won 312 of 441 resolved trades and is up about $35k lifetime
  • They trade heavily across events — 259 markets and $1.18M in volume — which suggests a repeatable process
  • This $1.1k buy was over half of the market’s 24-hour volume, so the position stands out in a quieter market

$1,130 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0x10c2...6ec5 No, $3,916
  2. 0x7e31...454d Yes, $2,272 (71% win rate)
  3. 0xcb04...832f No, $2,000
  4. 0x91b9...dcd8 Yes, $1,546
  5. 0x9ac0...d756 Yes, $1,388
  6. 0x45a3...23e6 Yes, $1,333
  7. 0x98a4...e862 No, $611
  8. 0x38d6...e50f No, $580
  9. 0x6358...cc23 Yes, $513
  10. 0x4b8c...26fd Yes, $445

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Resolved$1,130 tracked1 signalPoliticsTrumpCultureuapufoAliens
Yes
70¢
No
31¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History — “Yes
84¢
71¢
57¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

6d ago

$1,130 on Yes at 58¢

58¢70¢12¢

Related Theses