Part of: Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,669.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Trump, Aliens

Notable Trades

Sharp cross-market UFO buyer

Sharp wallet with a 76% resolved-bet win record and +$50k P&L bought $9.2k of Yes while also positioning across related markets.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up about $50k lifetime.
  • They bought $9.2k of Yes and are also trading across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • The average entry was about 50¢, while the market is now near 28¢, offering a cheaper price than the sharp buyer paid.

$9,228 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

New repeat bettor buys NO

A nearly new repeat bettor is making a $3.4k bearish bet on a thin, wide-spread market, effectively buying No around 34¢ with prior flagged activity totaling $12.2k.

  • This new wallet has now been flagged 4 times, with $12.2k in notable bets across 3 positions.
  • The trade is a clear bearish view, equivalent to buying No around 34¢ while the market now shows No near 42¢.
  • The market is thin, with only $2.8k liquidity and a 15¢ spread, so a $3.4k position shows real conviction.

$3,441 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6395...305d — No, $11,197
  2. 0x5971...ac63 — No, $2,939
  3. 0x2843...0ac5 — No, $1,594 (84% win rate)
  4. 0x54a7...881b — No, $1,544 (93% win rate)
  5. 0xa3a6...ac15 — No, $1,500
  6. 0x999f...addb — No, $1,339 (69% win rate)
  7. 0xd440...166e — No, $1,318
  8. 0x2a8c...a1bf — No, $1,220 (53% win rate)
  9. 0xf61d...48e9 — No, $1,158 (69% win rate)
  10. 0x8ee6...4ff3 — No, $1,066

Related Theses

Trump will declassify UFO files

Covers 3 related markets

Trump releases UFO files late June

Covers 3 related markets

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?$12,669 tracked2 signalsCulturePoliticsTrumpAliens
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Notable Trades

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

2026-06-12 07:37 UTC

$9,228 on Yes at 50¢

50¢→100¢↑50¢

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

2026-06-05 13:11 UTC

$3,441 on No at 34¢

Related Theses