Part of: What will happen before GTA VI?

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

This Polymarket asks whether Donald Trump will cease to be U.S. President at any point before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. PolySpotter currently tracks $8,495 in smart money activity on this market, with a recent signal from an 89% winner buying “No.” If neither Trump leaving office nor the US release of GTA VI occurs by July 31, 2026, the market resolves 50-50.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count. The resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $8,495.

Categories: Culture, All, Politics, GTA VI

Notable Trades

Serial 89% winner buys No

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate is effectively buying No with $8.5k on a relatively quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $86k lifetime.
  • They effectively bought $8.5k of No, more than 2x this market’s 24h volume.
  • This is part of a broader cross-market thesis: 3 related markets totaling $15.9k.

$8,495 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe854...269f No, $8,019
  2. 0xbba4...f8c6 Yes, $5,100
  3. 0x90ed...b5bc Yes, $3,684 (24% win rate)
  4. 0x612f...aa53 Yes, $3,431
  5. 0xbb8e...b243 Yes, $2,485 (69% win rate)
  6. 0x9ad0...bf3d Yes, $1,788
  7. 0x2061...8ec9 Yes, $1,598 (24% win rate)
  8. 0x5950...8c48 Yes, $1,546
  9. 0x1615...8f2b Yes, $1,500
  10. 0x7a61...af24 No, $1,492

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Trump out as President before GTA VI?

42dWhat will happen before GTA VI?$8,495 tracked1 signalCultureAllPoliticsGTA VI
Yes
51¢
No
50¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count. The resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
52¢
51¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

1h ago

$8,495 on No at 51¢

51¢50¢1¢

Related Theses