Part of: UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)
UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)
This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Nurullo Aliev" if Nurullo Aliev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $171,886.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable sharp amid coordinated flow
A highly profitable bettor and a 10-wallet cluster backed Nurullo, though the outcome has since fallen sharply from the bettor’s 50¢ entry to 6¢.
- This bettor has won 62 of 71 resolved positions and made $113,978 on $609,092 invested.
- Ten wallets bought Nurullo for a combined $20,309 during a major volume spike.
- The bettor paid 50¢, but Nurullo is now at 6¢, a sharp move against the position.
$1,900 on Nurullo Aliev | Wallet win rate: 88%
Large Dawson buyer amid sharp repricing
A $154K burst of Dawson buying coincided with a 400x volume spike and a sharp repricing, though most of the money came from a historically unprofitable whale.
- Three wallets bought about $154K of Grant Dawson, while market odds moved from roughly 50% to 94%.
- The surge came with a reported 400x volume spike; a separate buyer with an 87% win rate also entered Dawson at 36¢, though for only about $1.2K.
- Most of the money came from a trader down nearly $7M overall, so the flow is notable but not a strong standalone copy signal.
$154,077 on Grant Dawson
Sharp bettor in 10-wallet Aliev cluster
A historically profitable bettor and a 10-wallet buying cluster point to Nurullo Aliev, though the market now prices him at 6% versus this trade's 77% entry, making the signal stale and highly conflicted.
- This bettor has an 84% win rate across 542 resolved bets and is up nearly $984,000.
- Ten wallets bought Nurullo Aliev for about $20,300 as market activity surged, but the current odds are only 6% versus this trade's 77% entry.
- The sharp record and coordinated flow are notable, but the steep price gap makes this a high-risk, potentially stale signal.
$2,100 on Nurullo Aliev | Wallet win rate: 82%
Four-wallet Aliev buying cluster
Four wallets added roughly $10.3K to Nurullo Aliev, alongside a 29x volume spike and a serial cross-market trader with a 71% win rate.
- Four wallets bought Nurullo Aliev for about $10,284, with all four already holding positions and adding to them.
- A serial cross-market trader in the group has a 71% win rate across 205 resolved bets and is up about $127,805.
- Trading activity was 29 times the market’s historical average, with the buys placed near 50¢.
$12,810 on Nurullo Aliev
95% winner adding to Aliev
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate across 215 resolved positions added to an existing Nurullo Aliev position at even odds.
- This bettor has won 204 of 215 resolved positions and is up $125,862.
- They added $1,000 to an existing Nurullo Aliev position, showing continued conviction at 50¢.
- The wallet has traded across 114 events, with a reported 95% win rate.
$1,000 on Nurullo Aliev | Wallet win rate: 92%
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