Part of: UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card)
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $94,896.
Categories: Games, Sports, UFC
Notable Trades
Serial sharp adding to Diego
A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor added $2,000 to Diego Ferreira at 80¢ and the outcome has since risen to 97%, though the existing position means this was an add rather than a fresh entry.
- This bettor wins 87% of 331 resolved trades and is up $120,331.
- They added $2,000 to Diego Ferreira at 80¢, and the market has since moved to 97%.
- The wallet has traded across 50 markets in 44 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process.
$2,000 on Diego Ferreira | Wallet win rate: 88%
New-wallet cluster backing Billy
Four wallets deployed $25,000 on Billy Quarantillo in a thin market, led by a three-day-old repeat bettor with $45,000 reported profit, though the position is high risk after Billy fell from roughly 39% to 20%.
- Four wallets put $25,000 behind Billy Quarantillo at 38–40%, nearly six times the market's reported liquidity.
- A three-day-old wallet triggered 12 repeat large-bet alerts and shows $45,418 in reported profit, although its resolved sample is only three bets.
- Billy has since fallen to about 20%, making this a sharply contrarian position rather than a confirmed winning trade.
$25,047 on Billy Quarantillo
Whale adds to Ferreira position
A large existing position was increased by $64.7K amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, making this a notable directional sports bet despite the wallet's mediocre 51% win rate.
- The bettor added $64,748 to Diego Ferreira at 62¢, increasing an already $241,108 position.
- Trading volume was 2,752 times the historical average, signaling unusually concentrated attention before the fight.
- The wallet has 1,528 resolved bets but only a 51% win rate, so the position shows conviction more than a proven sharp edge.
$64,748 on Diego Ferreira | Wallet win rate: 54%
Elite bettor backs Diego Ferreira
An exceptionally profitable bettor with a 99% win rate and $16.8M lifetime profit made a concentrated $3,100 wager on Diego Ferreira in a relatively thin market.
- This bettor has won 1,701 of 1,714 resolved positions, with $16.8M in lifetime profit.
- The $3,100 wager is nearly twice the market's reported 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in Diego Ferreira.
- The wallet has traded across 847 markets and 796 events, suggesting broad, experienced market participation rather than a one-off bet.
$3,100 on Diego Ferreira | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 47182577, $62,975 (64% win rate)
- 0x23c8...f293 — Outcome 47182577, $53,140 (45% win rate)
- 0x39d3...9ef0 — Outcome 47182577, $39,893 (43% win rate)
- 0xa9b9...dd41 — Outcome 47182577, $29,043 (67% win rate)
- 0x2e78...067e — Outcome 47182577, $11,995 (68% win rate)
- 0x12ec...41ae — Outcome 47182577, $6,641 (58% win rate)
- 0x0a77...9d74 — Outcome 47182577, $5,263
- 0x733d...1ae7 — Outcome 47182577, $5,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x1025...7e11 — Outcome 47182577, $3,585 (74% win rate)
- 0xc092...0cd9 — Outcome 47182577, $3,086 (38% win rate)
Related Theses
Timberwolves upset in shootout
Covers 4 related markets
Mariners will beat Giants
Covers 1 related market
Bernet beats Dellien in Trieste
Covers 1 related market
PARIVISION Wins Dota 2 Game 1
Covers 1 related market
Christian Leroy Duncan will win
Covers 1 related market
Strickland beats Chimaev at UFC 328
Covers 1 related market
Man City wins comfortably
Covers 1 related market
76ers beat Knicks early
Covers 2 related markets
Bournemouth will not win
Covers 1 related market
