Part of: UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,251.

Categories: Games, Sports, UFC

Notable Trades

97% winner scales into Donchenko

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate is adding $4,000 to an existing Daniil Donchenko position at 68%.

This bettor has won 157 of 162 resolved trades and is up $587,432 lifetime.
The $4,000 purchase adds to an existing Donchenko position, signaling continued conviction at 68¢.
The entry is near the market’s 68% implied odds, with a 10-point copy ceiling at 78¢.

$4,000 on Daniil Donchenko | Wallet win rate: 97%

94% win-rate sharp backs Soriano

A highly proven UFC-oriented bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.18M profit made a concentrated contrarian purchase of Soriano at 33 cents in a relatively thin market.

This bettor has won 94% of 2,434 resolved positions and is up $1.18 million lifetime.
They bought Soriano at 33¢ despite the market pricing him at only 32%, taking a meaningful position against the 68% favorite.
The $2,251 trade was over four times the flagged 24-hour volume, while the bettor has traded across 490 events and 520 markets.

$2,251 on Punahele Soriano | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0x0dc6...9889 — Outcome 10526434, $18,000 (38% win rate)
0xa4ce...02b2 — Outcome 10526434, $9,645 (70% win rate)
0x8089...f935 — Outcome 10526434, $8,130 (74% win rate)
0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 10526434, $6,820 (94% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10526434, $3,394 (65% win rate)
0xe301...8654 — Outcome 10526434, $2,764 (76% win rate)
0xc092...0cd9 — Outcome 10526434, $1,690 (38% win rate)
0x10ff...5088 — Outcome 10526434, $1,454 (58% win rate)
0x477f...6c45 — Outcome 10526434, $1,359 (55% win rate)
0xbe02...b9f5 — Outcome 10526434, $1,348 (64% win rate)

Related Theses

Argentina will advance over Spain

Covers 1 related market

UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card)

ResolvedUFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card)$6,251 tracked2 signalsGamesSportsUFC

This market will resolve to "Punahele Soriano" if Punahele Soriano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Daniil Donchenko at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Daniil Donchenko" if Daniil Donchenko is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Daniil Donchenko”

71¢

69¢

66¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction