Part of: US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $279,239.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Serial sharp backing Michelsen

A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate made a fresh $4,000 bet amid a 42x volume spike and a sharp move toward Michelsen.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 1,150 resolved trades and earned $639,427 in profit.
  • The $4,000 Michelsen bet came during a 42.4x volume surge, alongside a 16-point price move toward Michelsen.
  • This trader has appeared across 352 events and 361 markets, suggesting a broad, repeatable betting edge rather than a one-off wager.

$4,000 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 81%

91% winner scaling into Michelsen

A serial cross-market bettor with 91% wins added $11.3K to an already $85K Alex Michelsen position amid a 42x volume spike and 16-point price move.

  • This bettor has won 91% of 230 resolved trades and is up $356,559 lifetime.
  • The wallet added $11,332 to an existing $85,411 Michelsen position, showing substantial conviction despite the market already being heavily favored.
  • The trade coincided with a 42x historical volume spike and a 16-point price jump toward Michelsen.

$11,332 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp bettor backs the underdog

A proven 79% bettor with serial cross-market activity sold the favorite while holding the underdog, amid a major volume spike, signaling a potentially informed contrarian position.

  • This bettor has won 79% of 76 resolved trades and is up $13,188.
  • The sale of Alex Michelsen at 73¢ is equivalent to buying Daniel Merida Aguilar at 27¢, consistent with the wallet’s existing underdog position.
  • The market saw a 156x historical volume spike, adding support to the directional signal.

$1,293 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 80%

Elite bettor adds to Michelsen

A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is adding $10,000 to Alex Michelsen at 63%.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 617 resolved positions and is up $1.07 million.
  • The wallet has made $508,248 across 132 events, showing a sustained cross-market track record.
  • A fresh $10,000 addition to an existing Michelsen position signals continued conviction at 63%.

$10,000 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 85%

24-wallet linked Michelsen cluster

A large, coordinated Michelsen position from 24 wallets, including five shared funders and a bettor with a strong 76% record, represents notable conviction despite the market now being fully priced.

  • Twenty-four wallets deployed $223,361 toward Alex Michelsen, with five shared funders behind the cluster.
  • One participating bettor wins 76% of trades at an average 36¢ entry and is up $29,482.
  • The strongest purchases came around 63–70¢, while the market has since moved to 100%, so the original edge is no longer available at current prices.

$223,361 on Alex Michelsen

Perfect-record bettor adds to Michelsen

A proven serial cross-market bettor with 169 wins from 169 resolved trades is adding $5,000 to an existing Alex Michelsen position at 65%.

  • This bettor has won 169 of 169 resolved trades and is up $141,006 lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded across 81 events and 91 markets, suggesting a consistent directional process rather than a one-off bet.
  • The additional $5,000 matches an existing $7,654 Michelsen position, showing increased conviction at 65%.

$5,000 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp serial trader exits Daniel

A highly profitable serial trader with a 78% win rate is exiting Daniel Merida Aguilar, implying a move toward Alex Michelsen, though the trade appears to be position management rather than a fresh bet.

  • This bettor wins 78% of 4,145 resolved trades and is up $1.65 million.
  • The $3,973 exit from Daniel at 38¢ converts to buying Alex at roughly 62¢.
  • The trader previously held over $10,000 in Daniel, so this is likely an informed exit but not a fresh position.

$3,973 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp bettor scaling into Michelsen

A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $20,281 to Alex Michelsen at 61¢.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 260 resolved trades and is up $958,309.
  • They are adding $20,281 to an existing Michelsen position at 61¢, indicating increased conviction.
  • The wallet has traded across 209 markets and 180 events, with a reported 28-point edge over implied odds.

$20,281 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

  1. 0x336b...1233 Outcome 30332017, $52,916 (52% win rate)
  2. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 30332017, $50,000 (88% win rate)
  3. 0x54ba...04e4 Outcome 30332017, $17,484 (76% win rate)
  4. 0x7568...2ce1 Outcome 30332017, $17,241 (96% win rate)
  5. 0xa2c9...2c23 Outcome 30332017, $12,881 (80% win rate)
  6. 0xfb07...e2cc Outcome 30332017, $12,000
  7. 0xacf8...e791 Outcome 30332017, $7,756 (71% win rate)
  8. 0xf9f5...ab8c Outcome 30332017, $5,758 (80% win rate)
  9. 0xbbc8...52a8 Outcome 30332017, $5,579 (73% win rate)
  10. 0xf12f...b30f Outcome 30332017, $5,405 (95% win rate)

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US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

ResolvedUS Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar$279,239 tracked8 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Alex Michelsen
66¢
62¢
58¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

7d ago

$4,000 on Alex Michelsen at 87¢

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

7d ago

$11,332 on Alex Michelsen at 88¢

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

7d ago

$1,293 on Daniel Merida Aguilar at 27¢

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

7d ago

$10,000 on Alex Michelsen at 63¢

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

6d ago

$223,361 on Alex Michelsen at 64¢

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

7d ago

$5,000 on Alex Michelsen at 65¢

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

8d ago

$3,973 on Alex Michelsen at 62¢

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

8d ago

$20,281 on Alex Michelsen at 61¢

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