Part of: US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,799.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Veteran contrarian on Korneeva
A highly experienced trader with a 70% win rate made a contrarian binary position amid a 1,598x volume spike, though the sell may represent profit-taking.
- This bettor has won 70% of 104,022 resolved bets and is up $792,310 lifetime.
- The trader sold Madison Keys at 88¢, equivalent to buying Alina Korneeva at 12¢ against a 3% current market price.
- Trading surged to 1,598 times its historical average, signaling unusually concentrated activity around the match.
$1,593 on Alina Korneeva | Wallet win rate: 71%
96% win-rate bettor adds to underdog
A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and 51-point edge is adding to an underdog position despite the market moving against it.
- This bettor has won 96% of 389 resolved positions and is up $318,218.
- They are adding to Alina Korneeva at 37¢ even though the market now prices her at 28%.
- The trade is part of a serial cross-market record spanning 229 events and $327,514 in volume.
$1,300 on Alina Korneeva | Wallet win rate: 95%
99% winner leads Keys cluster
Three wallets concentrated nearly $6,000 on Madison Keys, including a historically exceptional 99% winner, though the entries are already underwater and the broader signals are mixed.
- A bettor with 482 wins in 486 resolved trades joined the $5,906 Madison Keys position.
- Three wallets bought Keys at 80–85¢, showing concentrated conviction in a relatively liquid tennis market.
- The position has moved against them to 66¢, and one wallet was already holding Keys, so this is a high-risk, partially corroborated signal.
$5,906 on Madison Keys
Top Holders
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 22850172, $35,644 (71% win rate)
- 0x86b1...c094 — Outcome 22850172, $20,922 (38% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 22850172, $17,032 (93% win rate)
- 0xe65f...afc3 — Outcome 22850172, $7,337 (100% win rate)
- 0x9c3c...e8c9 — Outcome 22850172, $3,733 (95% win rate)
- 0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 22850172, $3,514 (95% win rate)
- 0x0be5...cf29 — Outcome 22850172, $3,000 (52% win rate)
- 0xe479...b1f1 — Outcome 22850172, $2,010 (100% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 22850172, $1,875 (64% win rate)
- 0x0ee5...e798 — Outcome 22850172, $1,733 (88% win rate)
Related Theses
Türkiye avoids defeat
Covers 3 related markets
Brazil-Japan match will happen
Covers 3 related markets
Türkiye-US match gets played
Covers 3 related markets
Japan-Sweden match will happen
Covers 3 related markets
Several favorites could win the World Cup
Covers 7 related markets
Argentina will not win
Covers 3 related markets
Fed will hike rates in September
Covers 2 related markets
No deal by May
Covers 2 related markets
MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin in June
Covers 2 related markets
Iran avoids defeat vs New Zealand
Covers 3 related markets
