Part of: US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva

US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,799.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Veteran contrarian on Korneeva

A highly experienced trader with a 70% win rate made a contrarian binary position amid a 1,598x volume spike, though the sell may represent profit-taking.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 104,022 resolved bets and is up $792,310 lifetime.
  • The trader sold Madison Keys at 88¢, equivalent to buying Alina Korneeva at 12¢ against a 3% current market price.
  • Trading surged to 1,598 times its historical average, signaling unusually concentrated activity around the match.

$1,593 on Alina Korneeva | Wallet win rate: 71%

96% win-rate bettor adds to underdog

A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and 51-point edge is adding to an underdog position despite the market moving against it.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 389 resolved positions and is up $318,218.
  • They are adding to Alina Korneeva at 37¢ even though the market now prices her at 28%.
  • The trade is part of a serial cross-market record spanning 229 events and $327,514 in volume.

$1,300 on Alina Korneeva | Wallet win rate: 95%

99% winner leads Keys cluster

Three wallets concentrated nearly $6,000 on Madison Keys, including a historically exceptional 99% winner, though the entries are already underwater and the broader signals are mixed.

  • A bettor with 482 wins in 486 resolved trades joined the $5,906 Madison Keys position.
  • Three wallets bought Keys at 80–85¢, showing concentrated conviction in a relatively liquid tennis market.
  • The position has moved against them to 66¢, and one wallet was already holding Keys, so this is a high-risk, partially corroborated signal.

$5,906 on Madison Keys

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 22850172, $35,644 (71% win rate)
  2. 0x86b1...c094 Outcome 22850172, $20,922 (38% win rate)
  3. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 22850172, $17,032 (93% win rate)
  4. 0xe65f...afc3 Outcome 22850172, $7,337 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x9c3c...e8c9 Outcome 22850172, $3,733 (95% win rate)
  6. 0xf12f...b30f Outcome 22850172, $3,514 (95% win rate)
  7. 0x0be5...cf29 Outcome 22850172, $3,000 (52% win rate)
  8. 0xe479...b1f1 Outcome 22850172, $2,010 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 22850172, $1,875 (64% win rate)
  10. 0x0ee5...e798 Outcome 22850172, $1,733 (88% win rate)

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US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva

ResolvedUS Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva$8,799 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Keys and Alina Korneeva in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Alina Korneeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Korneeva' if Alina Korneeva advances against Madison Keys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva

20d ago

$1,593 on Alina Korneeva at 12¢

US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva

20d ago

$1,300 on Alina Korneeva at 37¢

US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva

20d ago

$5,906 on Madison Keys at 85¢

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