Part of: US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,032.

Categories: Geopolitics, Trump, Economy, Cuba, Oil, Venezuela, embargo, Russia, Trade War

Notable Trades

Profitable macro regular

Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought No in a quiet political market with a trade larger than recent daily volume.

  • This bettor has 321 resolved bets, wins 69%, and is up $23k lifetime.
  • They are a frequent cross-market trader, with $210k deployed across 58 markets and 46 events.
  • The $1.5k No buy was about 147% of recent 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.

$1,546 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader is adding a meaningful Yes bet in a quiet politics market with recent upward momentum.

  • This bettor is up $156K across 146 resolved markets and actively trades event-linked theses.
  • Their $1.5K Yes buy is a large share of today’s quiet volume, suggesting real conviction.
  • The market has moved up 9.5 points this week, matching the direction of this buy.

$1,486 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

Top Holders

  1. 0x10f4...7728 Outcome 11053777, $5,505 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x7447...a16d Outcome 11053777, $3,788 (52% win rate)
  3. 0xe467...437f Outcome 11053777, $1,376
  4. 0x1b48...090c Outcome 11053777, $1,257
  5. 0x0a6d...1d0a Outcome 11053777, $1,253
  6. 0xaf9a...f393 Outcome 11053777, $1,167
  7. 0x859d...fccb Outcome 11053777, $781
  8. 0xbd08...4a59 Outcome 11053777, $749
  9. 0xb5e2...e599 Outcome 11053777, $680
  10. 0x0013...3c30 Outcome 11053777, $617

Related Theses

Houthis fail to hit shipping

Covers 3 related markets

Hormuz traffic will exceed 50 ships

Covers 1 related market

Claude Fable 5 stays unavailable

Covers 4 related markets

No foreign intervention in Gaza

Covers 2 related markets

US-Iran meeting around June 20

Covers 11 related markets

Iran deal after July

Covers 11 related markets

WTI will surge past $90 rapidly

Covers 4 related markets

WTI peaks near $80 in July

Covers 7 related markets

US-Iran deal announced soon

Covers 8 related markets

Fewer than 25 ships will transit

Covers 1 related market

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

ResolvedUS x Cuba economic deal by...?$3,032 tracked2 signalsGeopoliticsTrumpEconomyCubaOilVenezuelaembargoRussiaTrade War

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

Notable Trades

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

88d ago

$1,546 on No at 80¢

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

101d ago

$1,486 on Yes at 26¢

Related Theses

Houthis fail to hit shipping
Wallet_0xb4f25 trades 3 related markets
Will the Houthis successfully …Will the Houthis successfully …Will the Houthis successfully …
Hormuz traffic will exceed 50 ships
Wallet_0xb4f25 trades 1 related market
Will fewer than 50 ships trans…
Claude Fable 5 stays unavailable
Wallet_0xb4f25 trades 4 related markets
Will Claude Fable 5 be restore…Will Claude Fable 5 be restore…Will Claude Fable 5 be restore…
No foreign intervention in Gaza
Wallet_0xb4f25 trades 2 related markets
Foreign intervention in Gaza b…Foreign intervention in Gaza b…
US-Iran meeting around June 20
Wallet_0x74471 trades 11 related markets
US x Iran diplomatic meeting b…US x Iran diplomatic meeting b…US x Iran diplomatic meeting b…
Iran deal after July
Wallet_0x74471 trades 11 related markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…
WTI will surge past $90 rapidly
Wallet_0x74471 trades 4 related markets
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…
WTI peaks near $80 in July
Wallet_0x74471 trades 7 related markets
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (…
US-Iran deal announced soon
Wallet_0x74471 trades 8 related markets
US announces new Iran agreemen…US announces new Iran agreemen…US announces new Iran agreemen…
Fewer than 25 ships will transit
Wallet_0xb4f25 trades 1 related market
Will 25-49 ships transit the S…