Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,396.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought $6.9k of Up about 11 minutes before expiry and the market quickly moved from the high-70s/80s to 96%.
- This bettor has a long last-minute trading pattern: 103 near-resolution bets across 31 markets.
- They are up $331k lifetime and have traded over $38M in resolved markets.
- They built a $6.9k Up position at an average around 84¢, before odds jumped to 96¢.
$6,908 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%
Serial timer up $331K
Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Up 30 minutes before BTC market resolution, with a long history of last-minute bets and $331k lifetime P&L.
- This bettor is up $331k lifetime and repeatedly trades close to resolution.
- They have made 102 near-resolution bets across 31 markets, suggesting a real-time timing edge.
- They bought Up at 79¢ shortly before expiry, and the market has already moved to 82¢.
$1,190 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Up shortly before close, with a long history of last-minute crypto/event bets and $331k lifetime P&L.
- This bettor is up $331k lifetime and has placed 102 near-resolution bets across 31 markets.
- They bought Up 15–30 minutes before resolution, and the position has already moved from 79–82¢ to 86¢.
- This is a liquid BTC market with a sharp 31-point daily move, so the timing suggests a focused short-term view.
$2,558 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution crypto trader with a large positive lifetime P&L bought Up in size about 45 minutes before resolution, though the edge appears modest and the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor is up $330k lifetime across more than 2,000 resolved markets.
- They have made 99 near-resolution bets across 31 markets, suggesting a repeatable timing-based approach.
- They bought $3.9k of Up around 80¢ with under an hour to resolution.
$3,874 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Up on BTC at 71¢ and the market has already moved to 74¢.
- This bettor is up $394K lifetime across more than 1,500 resolved bets.
- They have traded 57 related events and 85 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Entry at 71¢ has already moved to 74¢, with BTC Up gaining 24 points over the last day.
$1,354 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable cross-market veteran
Profitable high-volume wallet with a long cross-market history bought Up amid a major volume spike and strong price momentum.
- This bettor has made 1,533 resolved trades and is up $394K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 57 events with $657K in flagged flow.
- Market volume is running 27.6x above normal, and Up has moved sharply to 74¢.
$1,267 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is buying BTC Up, but the position is modest and the signal is mainly their long profitable history.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,533 resolved trades and about $394K in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 56 events and 84 markets.
- They bought Up at 74¢ after the market moved sharply higher over the past day.
$1,244 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Outcome 45309737, $25,296 (60% win rate)
- 0x7312...a168 — Outcome 45309737, $10,000 (36% win rate)
- 0x00c8...9ccd — Outcome 45309737, $5,086
- 0x21f3...b993 — Outcome 45309737, $2,156
- 0x2b43...d103 — Outcome 45309737, $1,681
- 0x0e3c...6e60 — Outcome 45309737, $1,156 (75% win rate)
- 0x2cce...6e85 — Outcome 45309737, $1,150 (69% win rate)
- 0xd0c2...8915 — Outcome 45309737, $1,033
- 0xd323...7314 — Outcome 45309737, $1,000
- 0x0d25...9ac4 — Outcome 45309737, $1,000
Related Theses
Bitcoin holds 75K, tops at 80K
Covers 8 related markets
Bitcoin dips but holds $70K
Covers 6 related markets
Bitcoin tops $80,000 by May 10
Covers 1 related market
