Part of: Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
This Polymarket market predicts whether Variational’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $300 million one day after launch. It resolves based on total token supply multiplied by token price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token becomes publicly transferable and tradable. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,142 in smart money activity, including a recent signal of a 92% winner buying Yes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,142.
Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, Variational, FDV
Notable Trades
92% winner buying Yes
Sharp serial cross-market wallet with a 92% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Yes on a crypto FDV market.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $50.5K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 50 events and 79 markets with $406K in flagged activity.
- Entry at 74¢ implies they see room despite Yes already leading at 76%.
$1,142 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x464e...1a67 — Yes, $19,138
- 0x99f6...37fc — No, $17,412
- 0x6138...97a0 — No, $11,448 (51% win rate)
- 0x5ccf...fca1 — Yes, $10,673 (100% win rate)
- 0x5c23...c465 — Yes, $8,361 (75% win rate)
- 0x724c...39d6 — Yes, $5,950
- 0x2a8d...f710 — No, $5,234
- 0xbcbd...ef5e — Yes, $4,345 (75% win rate)
- 0x9d32...0fb9 — Yes, $4,165 (96% win rate)
- 0xde28...a563 — No, $3,883
