Part of: Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,456.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
95% winner adds to Nationals
An exceptionally proven bettor with a 95% win rate and $1.54M profit is adding to an existing Nationals position despite the market trading below their entry.
- This bettor has won 95% of 7,756 resolved positions and is up $1.54M.
- They are adding $2,324 to an existing Nationals position after previously investing $7,337.
- The Nationals moved 14 percentage points in the past day, but the trader’s 68¢ entry is now available around 62¢.
$2,324 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 95%
96% winner adds to Mets position
An exceptionally profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate added to a Mets position during an 87x volume spike, despite the market moving against the trade.
- This bettor has won 146 of 152 resolved trades and is up $76,147 lifetime.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Mets position at 46¢, showing continued conviction despite the market now pricing them near 40%.
- Trading volume was 87.2 times its historical average, adding unusual market-wide confirmation.
$1,487 on New York Mets | Wallet win rate: 97%
Profitable three-wallet Nationals cluster
Three highly profitable, high-volume wallets jointly bought Washington despite a sharp volume spike, though the market has since fallen below their entries.
- Three wallets committed $14,277 to Washington in a highly unusual 577x volume spike.
- The wallets have combined lifetime profits exceeding $4.7 million across tens of thousands of resolved bets.
- Their entries averaged about 65¢, while the market is now 57¢, so the trade has not yet been validated by price action.
$14,661 on Washington Nationals
Linked sharp bettors buying Mets
Three linked wallets bought $10,086 of the Mets during a 448x volume spike, including two bettors with extraordinary long-term records.
- Three linked wallets concentrated $10,086 on the Mets during a 448x spike over normal volume.
- Two participants have exceptional records: one wins 95% of 7,754 bets, while another wins 99% of 1,842 bets.
- The buys were made around 52¢, near the market's 54% implied probability, leaving room to enter up to 62¢.
$10,086 on New York Mets
Veteran bettor amid volume surge
A highly experienced trader made a fresh $2,889 Nationals bet amid an extreme 536.8x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet's 63% win rate does not clearly demonstrate strong odds-adjusted edge.
- This trader has 39,348 resolved bets, $37.3M in reported profit, and placed a fresh $2,889 bet on Washington.
- The market saw a 536.8x spike versus its historical trading activity, suggesting unusually strong pre-game interest.
- Washington has fallen from the trader's 48¢ entry to 44¢, creating a cheaper entry but also showing the position has moved against them.
$2,889 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 65%
95% win-rate serial sharp
A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge has opened a fresh $2,009 position on Washington at 49%.
- This bettor has won 95% of 1,732 resolved trades and earned $825,340 in profit.
- The fresh $2,009 Washington position is priced at 49%, despite the market giving Washington only a 48% current estimate.
- The wallet has traded across 301 events and 318 markets, showing a sustained and unusually broad track record.
$2,009 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 76323552, $9,819 (60% win rate)
- 0x161a...4103 — Outcome 76323552, $7,337 (95% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 76323552, $4,100 (94% win rate)
- 0x5482...b6ee — Outcome 76323552, $3,715
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 76323552, $3,213 (65% win rate)
- 0x58b9...ee8b — Outcome 76323552, $2,500 (92% win rate)
- 0xae81...f04b — Outcome 76323552, $2,041 (62% win rate)
- 0x519d...37a1 — Outcome 76323552, $1,572
- 0x75a7...2d61 — Outcome 76323552, $1,405 (29% win rate)
- 0x55b9...a814 — Outcome 76323552, $1,125 (60% win rate)
Related Theses
Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets