Event

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

9 signals across 4 markets · $43,574 tracked · resolves Aug 21, 2026

See Polymarket odds for the Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets MLB game, with the market covering either team winning. PolySpotter tracks $2,009 in smart-money activity across the event, including a signal from a 95% win-rate serial sharp.

WSH
1
60-64
Final
NYM
4
54-69
WSH +106NYM -114O/U 8.5
Venue
Citi Field, Queens
Attendance
30,660

Markets (4)

  1. Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets6 signals · $33,456 tracked
  2. Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.51 signal · $4,679 tracked
  3. Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)1 signal · $3,730 tracked
  4. Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.51 signal · $1,710 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Linked sharp bettors buying Mets

    Three linked wallets bought $10,086 of the Mets during a 448x volume spike, including two bettors with extraordinary long-term records.

    $10,086Score: 6.7
  2. Profitable three-wallet Nationals cluster

    Three highly profitable, high-volume wallets jointly bought Washington despite a sharp volume spike, though the market has since fallen below their entries.

    $14,661Score: 6.1
  3. 97% winner scales into Over

    An exceptionally profitable bettor with a 97% win rate is adding $4,679 to an existing Over position in an otherwise nearly inactive market.

    $4,679Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 6.0
  4. 95% win-rate serial sharp

    A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge has opened a fresh $2,009 position on Washington at 49%.

    $2,009Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.6
  5. 96% winner adds to Mets position

    An exceptionally profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate added to a Mets position during an 87x volume spike, despite the market moving against the trade.

    $1,487Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 5.4
  6. 95% winner adds to Nationals

    An exceptionally proven bettor with a 95% win rate and $1.54M profit is adding to an existing Nationals position despite the market trading below their entry.

    $2,324Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4
  7. Veteran bettor amid volume surge

    A highly experienced trader made a fresh $2,889 Nationals bet amid an extreme 536.8x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet's 63% win rate does not clearly demonstrate strong odds-adjusted edge.

    $2,889Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.1
  8. Large bet in a thin market

    A serial trader placed a large concentrated Nationals bet in a very thin market, with the position already moving from 72% to 80%.

    $3,730Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 2.1
  9. 99% winner backs the Under

    A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $1,710 Under position that has already moved from 57% to 64%.

    $1,710Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 0.7

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x823988d9a3$4,679 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
  2. 0x2005d175ea$3,730 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
  3. 0xfe787d0319$2,889 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
  4. 0x161a7f4103$2,324 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  5. 0xe8c4d6395d$2,009 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  6. 0xc3c3b3eec8$1,710 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
  7. 0x6a038592d3$1,487 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Nationals vs. Mets prediction-market odds?

The Polymarket odds show the market-implied probabilities for a Washington Nationals win or a New York Mets win. Check the live event page for the latest prices and changes.

What is smart money betting on in the Nationals vs. Mets market?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,009 in smart-money activity and one signal for this event. The latest alert came from a serial sharp with a reported 95% win rate; current market prices indicate which side is favored.

When does the Nationals vs. Mets prediction market resolve?

The game is scheduled for August 14 at 7:10 PM ET. The market remains open if the game is postponed and resolves after it is completed; a canceled game with no makeup or a tie resolves 50-50.

What outcomes are traded in this Polymarket event?

This event covers the game winner: Washington Nationals or New York Mets. It is a single-game MLB prediction market rather than a broader series or season market.