Weed rescheduled by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,785.

Categories: Politics, Trump, Culture, Cannabis, Marijuana

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor flips to No

A profitable, high-volume wallet flipped into No on a heavily active cannabis rescheduling market after a sharp recent drop, suggesting a deliberate thesis change worth tracking.

  • This bettor has 844 resolved bets and is up $267k, so this is a proven trader rather than a random whale.
  • They bought No at 71¢ after this market fell 21 points in a week and volume spiked 126x, showing strong conviction into momentum.
  • They had previously closed a smaller Yes position here, so this looks like a fresh bearish stance rather than routine profit-taking.

$3,752 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

9-wallet funded cluster

A 9-wallet funded cluster is positioning on the same thesis in a fast-rising policy market, and this wallet’s sell of No converts to a fresh buy of Yes around 66¢.

  • Nine linked wallets share the same funder and have put $3.5k behind this thesis
  • This wallet wins 87% of resolved bets across 428 markets, even if the average price profile is favorite-heavy
  • The market is already moving hard with 24-hour volume above $24k and Yes up 27 points in a day

$1,033 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdaef...54e9 No, $41,793 (62% win rate)
  2. 0x073a...91e7 Yes, $12,000 (38% win rate)
  3. 0x2525...b919 Yes, $11,250 (55% win rate)
  4. 0xf4da...16c6 Yes, $7,550
  5. 0xdc8d...84bc Yes, $6,000 (87% win rate)
  6. 0x45b2...cbc1 Yes, $1,570 (15% win rate)
  7. 0xcb14...5358 No, $1,534
  8. 0xb47e...41f6 Yes, $1,222
  9. 0x8f85...e5a3 Yes, $1,209 (59% win rate)
  10. 0x090c...3c25 No, $1,184 (60% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Resolved$4,785 tracked2 signalsPoliticsTrumpCultureCannabisMarijuana
Yes
44¢
No
56¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History — “No
67¢
51¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

3h ago

$3,752 on No at 71¢

71¢56¢15¢

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

5h ago

$1,033 on Yes at 66¢

66¢44¢22¢

Related Theses