Part of: 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,425.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

Serial sports trader momentum

Serial cross-market sports trader with a 74% hit rate bought No at 79¢ before the market moved sharply to 98¢, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

  • This bettor has traded 98 events and wins 74% of resolved bets across 2,171 outcomes.
  • They bought No at 79¢ before the market jumped to 98%, creating strong immediate confirmation.
  • The market moved 11.5 points in about 4 minutes, suggesting fast one-sided momentum against a draw.

$1,131 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable linked new wallet

New profitable wallet with linked-wallet backing is buying No on a thin Bundesliga draw market, suggesting coordinated conviction despite modest trade size.

  • This new wallet is 6-for-6 on resolved bets and is up $5,187 so far.
  • Three linked wallets share the same funder, with prior repeated activity from this cluster.
  • The market is thin with only $1,340 traded in 24h, and this $1,294 buy is nearly a full day of volume.

$1,294 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2005...75ea No, $4,566 (55% win rate)
  2. 0x84ad...bfb7 Yes, $2,971 (56% win rate)
  3. 0xdbdd...a5de No, $2,018 (51% win rate)
  4. 0xc899...e1fd No, $1,681 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x7138...8c89 Yes, $1,312
  6. 0x507e...beae No, $1,302 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x3f3a...e8fd Yes, $1,212 (87% win rate)
  8. 0x33bc...37dc No, $1,124 (46% win rate)
  9. 0x1df2...89a0 Yes, $992 (46% win rate)
  10. 0x204f...5e14 Yes, $987 (55% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?

Resolved1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin$2,425 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
102¢
86¢
71¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?

56m ago

$1,131 on No at 79¢

79¢100¢21¢

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?

3h ago

$1,294 on No at 77¢

77¢100¢23¢

Related Theses